Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets Betting Pick & Prediction 12/3/24

At 10:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-196) will host the Golden State Warriors (+164) in a Western Conference matchup. The Nuggets are favored by 5 points and the over/under line is set at 239.5.

Golden State is currently on a 4-game losing streak and is 12-7 overall. They are 4th in the Western Conference and 1st in the Pacific Division. Denver is 10-8 and 9th in the West. This game can be seen on TNT.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS DENVER NUGGETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Golden State Warriors +5

This game will be played at Ball Arena at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, December 3rd.

WHY BET THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 121-118 in favor of the Nuggets.
• Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with 27 points, 13 rebounds and 9 assists.
• From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.9% and knocking down 11 threes.

Do the Warriors Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

The Warriors fell to 12-7 on the season after a 113-105 road loss to the Suns on Saturday. Golden State entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 218 points was well below the O/U line of 234.5.

Golden State struggled early, getting outscored 66-49 in the first half. They made a push in the 3rd quarter, holding the Suns to 19 points, but a 10-0 run by Phoenix in the 4th quarter put the game out of reach.

In Saturday’s loss to the Suns, the Warriors shot just 41.3% from the field, with a 35% mark from beyond the arc, hitting 14 threes. Stephen Curry led the way with 23 points, though he connected on only 38.1% of his shots and went 3-for-10 from deep.

Curry scored 15 of his 23 points in the 3rd quarter, while Andrew Wiggins added 18 points, hitting 4 threes at a 44.4% rate. Draymond Green contributed 13 points, shooting 62.5% from the field, and Jonathan Kuminga and Brandin Podziemski each chipped in 12 points, with Kuminga scoring 8 in the 4th quarter.

The Warriors struggled defensively in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up 35 and 31 points, respectively, but tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 19 points. However, they couldn’t hold off the Suns in the 4th, where they gave up 28 points, leading to a 113-105 loss.

Golden State allowed Phoenix to shoot 48% from the field, including 51% from three, where the Suns hit 18 threes. The Suns also went 19/22 from the free-throw line. The Warriors finished with 34 defensive rebounds, gave up 6 offensive boards, and added 8 steals and 5 blocks.

Will the Nuggets Find a Way to Win at Home?

Denver fell to 10-8 on the season after a 126-122 road loss to the Clippers on Sunday. The Nuggets were favored by three points but failed to cover the spread, and the game’s total of 248 points exceeded the O/U line of 226.

Denver went on an 11-0 run to take a 54-37 lead, but the Clippers closed the gap. After a 36-27 2nd quarter, the Nuggets were outscored 33-31 in the 3rd and 34-32 in the 4th.

The Nuggets shot 58% from the field in their loss to the Clippers, with Nikola Jokic leading the way, scoring 28 points, 15 of which came in the first quarter. He also added 11 assists and 14 rebounds. Michael Porter Jr. and Jamal Murray each contributed 18 points, with Porter shooting 72.7% from the field.

Denver made 10 three-pointers, shooting 41.7% from beyond the arc. Julian Strawther added 15 points, scoring 7 in the 2nd quarter and 8 in the 4th, while Peyton Watson chipped in 13 points, 7 of which came in the 3rd quarter.

The Nuggets gave up 126 points to the Clippers, allowing at least 32 points in three of the four quarters. Denver’s best defensive effort came in the 2nd quarter, where they gave up 27 points.

Denver struggled to defend the three-point line, allowing the Clippers to hit 18 threes at a 46% clip. The Nuggets also sent the Clippers to the free-throw line 27 times, where they converted 22 attempts. Denver finished with 7 steals and 3 blocks.