Golden State Warriors vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Pick & Prediction 4/5/24

The Golden State Warriors will look to extend their win streak to seven games when they take on the Mavericks in Dallas. The Warriors (+170) are 10th in the Western Conference and five games behind the Mavs (-206), who are 5th in the West and have won four of their last six games.

This Western Conference matchup will tip off at 8:30 ET and will be played at the American Airlines Center. The over/under line for the game is set at 228.5 points.

GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS VS DALLAS MAVERICKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Golden State Warriors +5.5

This game will be played at American Airlines Center at 8:30 ET on Friday, April 5th.

WHY BET THE GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-112 in favor of the Mavericks.
• Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
• From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 16 threes.

Does Golden State Have What it Takes to Win as Road Underdogs?

Golden State has won six straight games and is currently 10th in the Western Conference with a record of 42-34. In the Pacific Division, they are in 5th place.

On the road, the Warriors have a record of 23-15, and they have won five straight games away from home. Against the spread, they are 26-12 on the road and 17-9 as underdogs.

This season, the Warriors have been the underdog in 27 of their 76 games. As the underdog, they have a scoring differential of -3.4 points per game. Today, they are getting 5.5 points against the Mavericks.

The Warriors’ O/U record for the season is 37-38-1, and their games have averaged 233.6 points per game. Today’s O/U line is 228.5, and their games have averaged 231.5 points per game.

In their last game, the Warriors defeated the Rockets by a score of 133-110. They were favored by 3 points in that game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 227.5 points.

This season, the Warriors are the 7th highest-scoring team in the NBA at 118 points per game. On the road, Golden State is averaging 118.4 points per game (3rd).

When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 11th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Golden State is 15th at 47%.

One of the strengths of the Warriors’ offense is their three-point shooting. They are 3rd in the NBA in both three-point makes (14.7 per game) and attempts (39.1 per game). Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc (6th).

Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 115.6 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Warriors are causing 13.7 turnovers per game, ranking 23rd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 27th in rejections, averaging 4.3 blocked shots each game.

Can Dallas Pull Out the Win as Home Favorites?

The Mavericks have won five straight games at home and are favored by 5.5 points today. Against the spread at home, they are 19-19 and have an average scoring margin of +4.1 points per game.

Dallas’ O/U record for the season is 35-41, and the under has hit in their last two games. This season, their games have averaged 234.2 points per game compared to today’s line of 228.5.

In their most recent game, the Mavericks defeated the Hawks by a score of 109-95. The O/U line for that game was 227.5, and Dallas covered the spread as 12-point favorites.

Overall, the Mavericks are 46-30 this season, which is good for 5th place in the Western Conference. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 29-20 and 10-5 against teams in the Southwest Division.

Going into today’s game, the Mavericks are 30-17 ATS as the favorite and have a record of 35-12. Their average scoring margin as the favorite is +6.9 points per game.

At home this season, the Mavericks are averaging 119.0 points per game, which is 8th in the NBA. Overall, they are 6th in scoring at 118.3 points per game. In terms of pace, Dallas is 10th in the league at 99.5 possessions per game.

So far, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 59.2% of their games. In terms of field goal percentage, Dallas is 11th in the league at 48%. When it comes to three-point shooting, the Mavericks are 2nd in both three-pointers made and attempted.

On average, the Mavericks are making 17 free throws per game, which is 16th in the league. In terms of assists, Dallas is 19th with 25.7 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounds, the Mavericks are 23rd in the NBA.

Coming into the game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 115.8 points per game. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA league average in 56.6% of their games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.6% while allowing 36.7% from downtown.