Georgia State Panthers vs Texas State Bobcats NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/15/25

Looking to win big? The Panthers and Bobcats face off at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The Bobcats are hosting the game at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX. This Sun Belt conference matchup has an over/under of 146 points, and Texas State is favored to win by -9.5 at home vs. Georgia State.
GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS VS TEXAS STATE BOBCATS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Georgia State Panthers +9.5
This game will be played at Strahan Arena at the University Events Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 15th.
WHY BET THE GEORGIA STATE PANTHERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-71 in favor of the Bobcats.
- Even though we have Texas State winning straight-up, we like Georgia State at +9.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 146 points, and we like the over with a projected 148 points.
Will the Panthers Make it Happen on the Road?
Georgia State improved to 6-10 this season with a 79-74 win over Coastal Carolina on Saturday. The Panthers were -3.5 favorites at home and covered the spread. The total points for the game hit 153, surpassing the O/U line of 136.5.
After trailing 44-31 at halftime, Georgia State turned things around in the 2nd half, outscoring Coastal Carolina 48-30.
Georgia State put up 79 points in their last game, shooting 48.3% from the field. They connected on 46.2% of their threes, going 6-for-13, and hit 88.2% from the free-throw line, making 15 of 17 attempts.
Zarique Nutter led the way with 23 points, shooting 8-for-12 from the field. Rasheed Jones added 18 points, hitting 5 of 10 from beyond the arc, while Toneari Lane also made 3 threes, finishing with 19 points.
Georgia State struggled defensively, giving up 74 points on 48% shooting from the field. Their defense allowed 29 made field goals on 60 attempts.
From beyond the arc, Georgia State allowed 6 three-pointers on 13 attempts, with the opposing team shooting 46% from three. They also sent the other team to the free-throw line 17 times, where they converted 15 free throws for 88%.
Pressure Builds for Texas State as Home Favorites
Texas State fell to 7-8 on the season after a 92-88 road loss to Southern Miss on Saturday. The Bobcats, who were favored by 3 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points reached 180, surpassing the over/under line of 144.5.
Texas State trailed 45-30 at halftime but made a strong push in the second half, outscoring Southern Miss 46-31. Despite the comeback effort, they couldn’t close the gap entirely.
In their latest game, Texas State put up 88 points, shooting 44.6% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.9%, with a 50% success rate on two-point attempts (30/60) and just 21.4% from beyond the arc (3/14). They connected on 73.1% of their free throws, going 19/26 from the line, and grabbed 16 offensive rebounds.
Mark Drone led the way with 30 points, hitting 3 of 5 from deep and shooting 60% overall. Alfred Worrell Jr. added 20 points, also shooting 60% from three (6/10). Denijay Harris contributed 19 points and 16 rebounds, while Kaden Gumbs chipped in 16 points and 5 assists.
Despite Texas State holding their opponent to 40% shooting, they still gave up 92 points. The Bobcats allowed 32 field goals on 79 attempts, including 10 threes on 25 attempts, with their opponent shooting 40% from beyond the arc.
Texas State also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 23 times, where they converted 18 free throws for 78%. The Bobcats struggled on the boards, giving up 21 offensive rebounds.