George Mason Patriots vs Dayton Flyers NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/15/25

The Patriots and Flyers are set to face off at 7:00 ET on CBSS. The Flyers will host the game at UD Arena in Dayton, OH. The odds for this Atlantic 10 conference game currently have Dayton as the -7.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 132.5 points.
GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS VS DAYTON FLYERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: George Mason Patriots +7.5
This game will be played at UD Arena at 7:00 ET on Wednesday, January 15th.
WHY BET THE GEORGE MASON PATRIOTS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the Flyers.
- Even though we have Dayton winning straight-up, we like George Mason at +7.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 132.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 146 points.
Is a Road Win Possible for the Patriots?
George Mason Patriots Recent Game/Games
George Mason improved to 11-5 on the season with a 77-70 win over UMass on Saturday. The Patriots were -11.5 point favorites at home but didn’t cover the spread.
Leading 36-32 at halftime, George Mason scored 41 points in the 2nd half while allowing 38. The total points for the game were 147, going over the O/U line of 139.5.
George Mason put up 77 points in their last game, shooting 49% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 55.1%. They were strong inside, hitting 62.1% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 30% of their threes.
The Patriots also made 23 free throws on 35 attempts, shooting 65.7% from the line, and grabbed 13 offensive rebounds. Rahsool Diggins led the way with 21 points, hitting 4 of 8 from three-point range, while Darius Maddox added 18 points.
George Mason’s defense struggled in their last game, allowing 70 points on 49% shooting from the field. They gave up 62% shooting on two-point attempts, with the opposing team hitting 18 of 29 shots inside the arc.
From three-point range, George Mason held the other team to 30% shooting, as they made 6 of 20 attempts. However, they sent the opponent to the free-throw line 35 times, where they converted 23 free throws at a 65% rate. George Mason also allowed 13 offensive rebounds.
Can the Flyers Grab a Win at Home?
Dayton’s season record fell to 10-5 after a 76-72 loss to UMass on Wednesday. The Flyers, who were -10.5 favorites, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 148, just over the 147.5 O/U line.
Dayton led 39-36 at halftime but were outscored 40-33 in the 2nd half. This game was a missed opportunity for the Flyers, who were expected to win comfortably.
Dayton’s offense put up 72 points in their last game, shooting 38% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 44%. They struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 25% of their threes (6/24), while connecting on 50% of their two-point attempts (13/26). At the free-throw line, the Flyers made 28 of 38 attempts, shooting 73.7%.
Daniel Rivera led the way with 23 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 61.5% from the field. Rahsool Diggins, Nate Santos, and Marqui Worthy each added 18 points, with Diggins dishing out 6 assists. Worthy was efficient, hitting 63.6% of his shots, while Diggins struggled, shooting 30% overall and 25% from three.
Even with Dayton holding their opponent to just 3/20 from beyond the arc, the Flyers couldn’t stop them from scoring 76 points. They allowed 27 field goals on 60 attempts, giving up a 45% shooting percentage overall.
Dayton struggled to defend inside, as their opponent shot 60% on two-pointers, making 24 of 40 attempts. The Flyers also sent their opponent to the line 20 times, where they converted 19 free throws.