Fresno State Bulldogs vs San Jose State Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 2/6/24

The Bulldogs and Spartans are set to face off at 10:00 ET on NBCS. The Spartans will host the game at Provident Credit Union Event Center in San Jose, CA. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 140.5 points, and San Jose State is favored by -3 to win at home against Fresno State.
FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS VS SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: San Jose State Spartans -3
This game will be played at Provident Credit Union Event Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, February 6th.
WHY BET THE SAN JOSE STATE SPARTANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-69 in favor of the Spartans.
- Not only will San Jose State pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -3.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Can the Bulldogs Offense Score Enough on the Road?
As the underdog, Fresno State will look to snap their two-game losing streak when they take on San Jose State. So far, the Bulldogs have gone 9-13 overall, including a 2-7 record in Mountain West Conference play. On the road, Fresno State is just 1-6, and their average margin of defeat is -12.0 points per game.
Most recently, the Bulldogs fell to Colorado State by a score of 73-61. Over their last 10 games away from home, they have gone just 2-8. For the season, Fresno State has gone 0-11 when listed as the underdog. For the year, they have gone 7-6 in non-conference games.
As the underdog this season, Fresno State has an ATS record of just 2-9. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-5 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are just 2-8 vs. the spread.
The over/under record for Fresno State games this season is 13-8 and the average scoring total in their games is 142.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 140.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (138.3). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 144 points and their OU record for their last 10 games is 5-5.
The Fresno State offense is coming off a game where they scored 61 points against Colorado State. They posted a field goal percentage of 46% and connected on 7 threes. For the season, the Fresno State offense has been one of the more efficient shooting teams in the NCAA with a field goal percentage of 47%. So far, they have hit 55% of their looks from inside the arc, and are averaging 6.8 made three’s per contest.
The Bulldogs’ defense is presently ranked 195th nationally, allowing an average of 73.2 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Fresno State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.2% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 37.6% this season.
Will San Jose State Come Through as Home Favorites?
San Jose State will look to snap their five-game losing streak when they host Fresno State. The Spartans are 4-6 at home this season, and they have gone 3-3 when favored. So far, they have gone 1-4 at home over their last five games.
Overall, San Jose State is 8-14 this season, including a 1-8 record in Mountain West Conference play. Their average scoring margin at home this season is -3.2 points per game. In their last game, they lost to Nevada by a score of 90-60.
Overall, San Jose State has an ATS record of 8-12 this season. At home, they are just 4-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Spartans are 4-6 and they are 2-4 vs. the spread this season when favored.
San Jose State’s over/under record for the season is 15-5 and today’s line of 140.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (138.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. The average scoring total in their last three games is 145 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 8-2.
In their most recent game, the San Jose State offense put up just 60 points vs. the Nevada Wolf Pack. Overall, they are now averaging 73.5 points per game which is 221st in the country. In terms of three-point shooting, the Spartans offense has been good from outside, hitting 35% of their three-pointers on an average of 25.6 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 46%.
At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 237th, allowing 75.2 points per game. Against Nevada in their most recent game, the San Jose State defense gave up a total of 90 points while allowing Nevada to hit 48% of their shots.