Florida Gulf Coast Eagles vs North Alabama Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 2/3/24

The Eagles and Lions are set to face off at 8:15 ET on ESPN+. The Lions will host the game at Flowers Hall in Florence, AL. This Atlantic Sun conference matchup has an over/under of 144.5 points, and North Alabama is favored to win by -2.5 at home vs. Florida Gulf Coast.

FLORIDA GULF COAST EAGLES VS NORTH ALABAMA LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Florida Gulf Coast Eagles +2.5

This game will be played at Flowers Hall at 8:15 ET on Saturday, February 3rd.

WHY BET THE FLORIDA GULF COAST EAGLES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Eagles.
• Not only will Florida Gulf Coast pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +2.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 144.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

Florida Gulf Coast heads into this game as a 2.5-point underdog, and they have gone 2-9 as an underdog this season. They are coming off a 23-point win over Central Arkansas and have won two in a row.

On the road, the Eagles are 3-8 this season, and their average scoring margin is -5.3 points per game. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 3-7, and they have gone 2-3 over their last five.

As the underdog, Florida Gulf Coast has gone 4-7 vs. the spread this season and they are 9-11 overall. On the road, the Eagles are 5-6 ATS and they have gone 2-1 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.

Florida Gulf Coast’s over/under record for the season is 9-11 and today’s over/under line of 144.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year (142.2). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 149 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 5-4.

Florida Gulf Coast finished with 82 points in their game against Central Arkansas. This total surpasses their season-average of 70.5 points per game. For the season, the Florida Gulf Coast offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 309th in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 45%.

Florida Gulf Coast’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.3 points per game. So far, the Florida Gulf Coast defense is giving up an average of 7.8 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.2 times per game (496th).

Will North Alabama Live Up to Expectations at Home?

North Alabama is 10-12 overall and 4-4 in Atlantic Sun play. They are 6-3 at home this season, and they have won three straight games. The Lions are favored by 2.5 points today, and they have gone 7-3 when favored this season.

Today’s game against Florida Gulf Coast marks the 23rd game of the season for North Alabama. They are coming off a 79-72 win over Stetson, and over their last 10 games, they have gone 7-3 at home.

North Alabama has an ATS record of 10-10 this season, going 5-4 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Lions have a mark of 6-4. At home, their ATS record vs. the spread is 5-4 this year.

North Alabama’s over/under record for the season is 11-8-1 and the average scoring total in their games is 153.2 points. Today’s over/under line of 144.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (148.7). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 166 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 7-2-1.

In their latest game, North Alabama’s offense looked good, scoring 79 points against Stetson. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 50% and made 10/13 free throws. On the offensive front, the Lions have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 242nd nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 141st in terms of percentage and 135th in three-pointers made.

Currently, the Lions’ defense holds the 259th rank in the nation, allowing 76.4 points per game. North Alabama’s three-point defense is currently 109th in the country at 6.8 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.2% of their shots vs. North Alabama.