Evansville Aces vs Missouri State Bears Betting Pick & Prediction 11/29/23

Betting on today’s Aces and Bears game? Catch the action at Great Southern Bank Arena in Springfield, MO, as the Bears hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Missouri Valley conference game currently have the Bears as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 137.5 points.

EVANSVILLE ACES VS MISSOURI STATE BEARS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Evansville Aces +11.5

This game will be played at Great Southern Bank Arena at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, November 29th.

WHY BET THE EVANSVILLE ACES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Bears.
• Even though we have Missouri State winning straight-up, we like Evansville at +11.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.

Does Evansville Have A Chance at Great Southern Bank Arena?

Evansville, who has a flawless record of 4-0, will take on Missouri State. In their last ten road games, including last year, the Aces have a record of 3-7. As Evansville gets ready to face Missouri State, they hold a perfect 4-0 record against the spread. When playing away, the Aces are 2-0 vs. the spread, just like their 2-0 record at home ATS.

Evansville comes in with an over/under record of 1-3-0 through four games, with their games averaging a combined 140 points per game so far. Looking at the Aces’ last three games, their over/under record is 2-1 with their games averaging 84 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Evansville offense ended with 93 points against Southeast Missouri State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 56.5% and made 4 threes. Leading Evansville in scoring vs. Southeast Missouri State was Ben Humrichous with his 27 points. Joshua Hughes also added 21 points for the Aces.

So far this season, the Evansville defense has been performing well, ranking 21st in the country at 61.3 points allowed per contest. Evansville’s three-point defense is currently 77th in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 34.7% of their shots vs. Evansville.

Can the Bears Secure a Win at Home?

As the 6th game of the season approaches, Missouri State, with a 4-1 overall record, has recorded a 2-3 at home in their previous five home games, including last year. Regarding ATS, Missouri State currently holds a record of 3-2 for this season. Looking back at their previous ten games, including those from last season, Missouri State has gone 5-3-1 against the spread.

Missouri State comes in with an over/under record of 2-3-0 through five games, with their games averaging a combined 136.8 points per game so far. Looking at the Bears’ last three games, their over/under record is 1-1 with their games averaging 78 points per game.

The Missouri State offense is coming off a game in which they scored 92 points vs. South Carolina State. Overall their field goal percentage was 58.5% while connecting on 10 threes. Offensively, the Bears hold a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, placing them 100th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 63rd in terms of percentage and 66th in three-pointers made.

The Bears’ defense is presently ranked 59th nationally, allowing an average of 65.3 points per contest. Against South Carolina State in their most recent game, the Missouri State defense gave up a total of 74 points while allowing South Carolina State to hit 58% of their shots.