Elon Phoenix vs UNCG Spartans Betting Pick & Prediction 12/10/23

The Phoenix and Spartans are set to face off at 4:30 ET on ESPN+. The Spartans will host the game at Greensboro Coliseum in Greensboro, NC. The odds for this non-conference game currently have the Spartans as the betting favorite with the over/under line sitting at 149 points.

ELON PHOENIX VS UNCG SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Elon Phoenix +12

This game will be played at Greensboro Coliseum at 4:30 ET on Sunday, December 10th.

WHY BET THE ELON PHOENIX:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 73-71 in favor of the Spartans.
• Even though we have UNCG winning straight-up, we like Elon at +12.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 149 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.

Will the Elon Defense Show Up on the Road?

Elon is set to play their 10th game of the season and currently have a 5-4 record. In their last ten road games, which includes games from last year, Elon has a 3-7 record. As Elon enters today’s game, their ATS record stands at 4-4. This includes a 3-3 mark on the road vs. the spread and a 1-1 record at home.

Through nine games, Elon has an over/under record of 6-1-1 with their games averaging a combined 157.5 points per game so far. When assessing the Phoenix’s performance in their last three games, their over/under record stands at 2-0, with their games averaging 165 points per game.

In their recent matchup, the Elon offense ended with 82 points against Presbyterian. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 41% and made 12 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Phoenix offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 24.2 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 48%.

So far, the Phoenix’s defense is ranked 212nd in the country at 77.0 points per contest. So far, the Elon defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.9 times per game (440th).

Do the Spartans Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

When they take on Elon, the Elon Phoenix come into the game with a 7-1 overall record. In their last five home games, UNCG has gone 4-1, including last year. As of now, UNCG has a 3-3 record against the spread heading into today’s game. In their last five games, they are 2-2 vs. the spread.

UNCG’s games have, on average, featured 147.7 points per game leading to an over/under record of 5-1-0. Their average over/under line is currently 138.8 points so far. The Spartans have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 146 points per game and an over/under record of 3-1.

The UNCG offense, in their latest game, managed to score just 58 points versus UIC. During the game, they attempted 19 three-point shots and had a field goal percentage of 37.5%. On the offensive front, the Spartans have a season-long field goal percentage of 47%, ranking 101st nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 93rd in terms of percentage and 38th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 126th, allowing 70.4 points per game. Against UIC in their most recent game, the UNCG defense gave up a total of 57 points while allowing UIC to hit 37% of their shots.