Drake Bulldogs vs Valparaiso Beacons NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/5/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Bulldogs versus the Beacons? Tip off is at at 8:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Athletics-Recreation Center in Valparaiso, IN. Drake is favored by -10.5 in this Missouri Valley conference matchup the against Valparaiso. The over/under for the game is set at 137.5 points.
DRAKE BULLDOGS VS VALPARAISO BEACONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Valparaiso Beacons +10.5
This game will be played at Athletics-Recreation Center at 8:00 ET on Thursday, December 5th.
WHY BET THE VALPARAISO BEACONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-68 in favor of the Beacons.
- Not only will Valparaiso pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +10.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 137.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 145 points.
Does Drake Have What it Takes to Win as Road Favorites?
Drake Bulldogs Recent Game/Games
Drake improved to 6-0 on the season with a 61-47 home win over Georgia Southern on Saturday, November 30th. The Bulldogs were -14 point favorites going into the game, and the final score resulted in a push against the spread.
Drake led 29-23 at halftime and outscored the Eagles 32-24 in the second half. The total points for the game were 108, well under the 143.5 O/U line.
Drake’s offense struggled in their last game, putting up just 61 points on 39.2% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.1%, and they hit only 28.6% of their three-point attempts, going 6-for-21 from deep.
At the free-throw line, the Bulldogs shot 68.2%, making 15 of 22 attempts. They grabbed 11 offensive rebounds and dished out 13 assists. Daniel Abreu led the team with 15 points and 7 rebounds, while Mitch Mascari and Bennett Stirtz each added 13 points, with Stirtz also contributing 6 assists.
Drake’s defense was strong, holding their opponent to just 47 points on 39% shooting from the field. They allowed 14 two-point baskets on 30 attempts, a 46% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, Drake’s defense limited their opponent to 6 threes on 21 attempts, a 28% success rate. They also sent them to the free-throw line 22 times, where they made 15, shooting 68%. Drake gave up 11 offensive rebounds.
Taking a Look at the Beacons Chances at Home
Valparaiso Beacons Recent Game/Games
Valparaiso dropped to 3-3 on the season following an 89-70 loss to DePaul on Friday. The Beacons were +15 underdogs going into the game and failed to cover the spread.
Valpo trailed 42-29 at halftime and couldn’t close the gap in the second half, allowing 47 points while scoring 41. The game’s total points hit 159, surpassing the 150-point O/U line.
Valparaiso put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 41.5% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 49.2%. They connected on 34.6% of their three-point attempts, hitting 9 of 26 from deep, and went 7 for 11 from the free-throw line, shooting 63.6%.
Isaiah Rivera and Cooper Schwieger led the Beacons with 19 points each, with Rivera shooting 70.0% overall and 75.0% from three. Schwieger added 8 rebounds, while Darius DeAveiro contributed 13 points, 5 rebounds, and 5 assists, hitting 3 of 6 from beyond the arc.
Valparaiso’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 89 points on 52% shooting from the field. They allowed their opponent to hit 60% of their two-point attempts, with a 20/33 performance inside the arc.
From three-point range, Valparaiso’s defense conceded 12 threes on 28 attempts, a 42% shooting clip. They also sent their opponent to the line 19 times, where they converted 13 free throws (68%).