Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Pick & Prediction 4/11/25

Making on a bet on this NHL game featuring the Red Wings versus the Lightning? The puck drops at 7:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on ESPN+. The game will be played at Amalie Arena in Tampa, FL. The over/under for this game is set at 6 goals, and the Lightning are favored by -1.5 against the Red Wings in a Atlantic division matchup.

DETROIT RED WINGS VS TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING BETTING PICK

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning -1.5

This game will be played at Amalie Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, April 11th.

WHY BET THE TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING:

• Even though they are considered 1.5-goal underdogs, our projection points to a 4-3 win for the Red Wings.
• We like the Red Wings on the moneyline (+235)
• The Red Wings are also our pick on the spread at +1.5

Can Detroit Secure a Road Victory?

Detroit moved above .500 with a 2-1 win over the Sabres, bringing their record to 36-35-7. The Red Wings, favored by -1.5 goals, didn’t cover the puck line, and the total of 3 goals fell well short of the 6.5 set for the game.

After trailing 1-0 in the first period, Detroit responded with two goals in the second. Dylan Larkin scored both, with his first coming at 12:11 in the second period. Both of Larkin’s goals were on the power play.

Detroit’s offense was held in check in a 2-1 win over Buffalo, with both goals coming on power plays in the second period. Dylan Larkin netted his 6th and 7th goals of the season, while Patrick Kane picked up his 6th assist. Alex DeBrincat added his 4th assist, and Lucas Raymond recorded his 10th.

The Red Wings fired 23 shots on goal but were shut out in the first and third periods. They struggled with giveaways, totaling 15 in the game.

Detroit’s defense gave up the first goal of the game at 11:39 in the first period, but they didn’t allow another, leading to a 2-1 victory. Cam Talbot made 31 saves with a 96.9% save percentage, and the defense added 4 takeaways and 11 hits.

Will Tampa Bay Find a Way to Win at Home?

Tampa Bay’s recent 7-4 loss to the Jets dropped their record to 45-27-7. The Lightning, underdogs on the puck line, also failed to cover. The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but both teams combined for 11.

The Lightning held a 2-0 lead in the first period, but the Jets responded with seven of the next nine goals. Four different players scored for Tampa Bay in the game.

Tampa Bay’s offense put four goals on the board in their 7-4 loss to the Jets. Brandon Hagel opened the scoring with his 7th goal of the season, while Brayden Point followed with his 8th on a power play. Mitchell Chaffee added his 4th goal, and Nikita Kucherov netted his 10th, unassisted, in the third period.

The Lightning fired 30 shots on goal and recorded eight giveaways. Kucherov’s goal came after the Jets had taken a 4-3 lead in the third period.

Defensively, Tampa Bay struggled late, giving up four goals in the third period, including two empty-netters. Jonas Johansson made 27 saves with an 84.4% save percentage. The Lightning’s defense also recorded 6 takeaways and 16 hits.