Detroit Red Wings vs Buffalo Sabres Betting Pick & Prediction 12/5/23
Don’t miss out on the NHL showdown between the Red Wings and Sabres. The game is starting at 7:30 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Sabres at KeyBank Center in Buffalo, NY. Get ready to place your bets! The Red Wings come into this Atlantic division matchup as the favorite to pick up the win. Currently, the over/under for the game is at 6.5 goals.
DETROIT RED WINGS VS BUFFALO SABRES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Sabres +1.5
This game will be played at KeyBank Center at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, December 5th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO SABRES:
- With the Red Wings being favored by 1.5, our NHL analytics models has this one playing out 4-3 in favor of the Red Wings.
- Take the Red Wings on the moneyline
- On the puck line, we like Sabres (+1.5)
Does Detroit Have What it Takes on the Road?
Facing the Sabres, the Red Wings have a record of 13-7-3 so far. At home, their record is 8-3-2 and 5-4-1 on the road. They are currently positioned 3rd in the Eastern Atlantic division and 4th in the Eastern conference.
Against the puck line, Detroit is 15-8. Their road puck line record so far is 7-3 while sitting 8-5 at home against the puckline. For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Detroit is 6.7. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.4. The Red Wings come in with an over/under record of 13-10-0.
In their last three road games, Detroit has averaged 4 goals per game while allowing 3. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
When looking at their offense, the Red Wings have an average of 3.7 goals per game this season, positioning themselves 4th in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are ranked 22nd in the league. Detroit’s offense comes into the game ranked 4th in power play goals. And in terms of shorthanded goals, they are 17th in the NHL.
Detroit’s leading scorer is Alex DeBrincat. So far, he has 13 goals which is 11th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 10 assists so far.
Defensively, the Sabres come into the season ranked 15th in goals allowed. Opponents are averging 29.8 shots per game against Buffalo. For the season, they are ranked 20th in shutouts, coming in with 1 shutouts.
Goalie Alex Lyon gets the start and has made four starts this season. His record at this point is 3-1, and his save percentage is 95.8%.
Will the Sabres Defense Show Up at Home?
The Sabres come in with an overall record of 10-13-2. On the road, Buffalo has a 5-7-2 record, whereas they are 5-6-0 at home. This record has them sitting 7th in the Eastern Atlantic division and 14th in the Eastern conference.
In terms of the puck line, Buffalo posted a 13-12 record. On the road they are 9-5 against the puck line, while their overall home performance is 4-7. For the season, the average number of goals per game in matchups featuring Buffalo is 6.2. The season’s average over/under line is currently at 6.5. The Sabres come in with an over/under record of 10-14-1.
When looking at their past three home matchups, Buffalo has an puck line record of 1-2 while averaging 3 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
On offense, the Sabres are averaging 2.8 goals per game which is 22nd in the NHL. In terms of shots on goal per game, they are 16th in the league. This year, the Sabres have recorded a 6-6 record in games where they outshoot their opponent. For games with fewer shots on goal, they have 4-7 record.
Buffalo will be looking for a good game from JJ Peterka who leads the team in scoring with 10 goals, ranking 37th in the NHL. Along with his scoring, he has come up with 8 assists so far.
In terms of defense, the Sabres head into the game ranked 15th in goals allowed. On average, opponents are taking 29.8 shots per game against Buffalo. So far, they are 20th in shutouts, achieving 1 shutouts.
Entering the game, goalie Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen has started 11 games this season. His current record stands at 6-5, and his save percentage is 90.7%.