Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Betting Pick & Prediction 1/31/24

At 8:00 ET, the Thunder (-118) will host the Nuggets (-102) in a Western Northwest divisional matchup. Oklahoma City (-1.5) is favored over Denver (+1.5) and the over/under line is 228.5 points.

The Thunder (32-15) are on a two-game losing streak and are currently 3rd in the Western Conference. The Nuggets (33-15) have won two straight and are 2nd in the West.

DENVER NUGGETS VS OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Nuggets +1.5

This game will be played at Paycom Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 31st.

WHY BET THE DENVER NUGGETS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-116 in favor of the Nuggets.
• Our projections have Nikola Jokic finishing with Nikola Jokic points, 12 rebounds and 8 assists.
• From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 12 threes.

Will the Nuggets Make it Happen in Oklahoma City?

The Nuggets have won two straight games and are currently 33-15 on the season, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 16-5 compared to 17-10 against Western Conference opponents.

As the underdog this season, Denver is 2-3 straight-up and 2-3 against the spread. The team’s ATS record for the season is 20-26 (8-16 on the road and 12-10 at home).

Denver’s O/U record for the season is 17-30-1, and the under has hit in their last six games. On average, their games have finished with 226 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 228.5.

In their last game, the Nuggets defeated the Bucks by a score of 113-107. They were favored by 4 points and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 238 points.

When it comes to scoring, the Nuggets are 17th in the league with 115 points per game. In terms of their road scoring, they are 23rd in the NBA at 110.6 points per game.

So far this season, Denver has outscored the NBA scoring average in 47.9% of their games. In terms of their pace, they are last in the league at 96.1 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are 4th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 14th in three-point shooting at 36%.

So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 4th in the league at 110.9 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 53.1% while allowing 35.9% from downtown.

Will the Thunder Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?

Today, the Thunder are favored by 1.5 points against the Nuggets. So far this season, Oklahoma City has been the favorite in 31 of their 47 games and have gone 23-8 straight-up and 20-11 against the spread.

Oklahoma City’s last two games have resulted in losses, and they are 32-15 on the season, which is good for 3rd place in the Western Conference. In their last game, the Thunder lost to the Timberwolves by a score of 107-101.

This season, the Thunder have an average scoring differential of +9.8 points per game at home. Against the spread at home, they are 16-7 and 15-9 on the road.

Oklahoma City’s O/U record for the season is 25-22, and the under has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 233.7 points, which is higher than today’s line of 228.5.

In the Western Conference, the Thunder are currently in 3rd place with a record of 20-11. Against teams from the West, they are 20-11 and 12-4 in non-conference games.

At home, the Thunder are averaging 122.9 points per game, which is 4th in the NBA. Overall, they are 3rd in scoring at 120.8 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 2nd in the league at 50%.

When it comes to pace, the Thunder are 12th in the NBA at 99.5 possessions per game. In terms of two-point shooting, they are 3rd in the league at 57%. From beyond the arc, they are 3rd in three-point shooting at 38%.

So far this season, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 68.1% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 10th in the league at 27 per game. When it comes to offensive rebounds, they are 29th in the NBA.

In the current season, the Thunder defense has excelled, sitting 13th in the NBA by allowing 112.9 points per game. The Oklahoma City defense has allowed opponents to shoot 36.4% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 45.0% of their field goal attempts vs. Oklahoma City.