Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 2/27/25

At 8:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-147) will travel to take on the Milwaukee Bucks (+124) in a non-conference matchup. The Nuggets (-3) are favored on the road against the Bucks (+3) in a game that will be played at Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.
Denver comes into this game with a record of 38-20, which is good for 3rd in the Western Conference. Milwaukee is 5th in the East with a record of 32-25. The over/under line for this game is set at 240 points.
DENVER NUGGETS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks +3
This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 8:00 ET on Thursday, February 27th.
WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-122 in favor of the Bucks.
- Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with 30 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.0% and knocking down 15 threes.
Do the Nuggets Have a Shot at a Win at Milwaukee?
The Nuggets improved to 38-20 on the season with a 125-116 win over the Pacers on Monday. Denver, favored by 3.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game fell short of the 246.5 O/U line, with the teams combining for 241 points.
Denver got off to a strong start, leading 36-28 after the 1st quarter. Although the Pacers edged them 30-28 in the 2nd quarter, the Nuggets took control in the 3rd, outscoring Indiana 36-25. Heading into the 4th with a 100-83 lead, Denver held on despite being outscored 33-25 in the final period.
Aaron Gordon led the Nuggets with 25 points in their win over the Pacers, scoring 12 in the first quarter. Michael Porter Jr. added 19 points, while Nikola Jokić contributed 18 points and 19 assists, with 10 of his points coming in the 3rd quarter.
Christian Braun also had a strong 4th quarter, scoring 10 of his 17 points late in the game. The Nuggets shot 56.4% from the field, but made just 8 threes, shooting 38.1% from beyond the arc.
The Nuggets gave up 116 points to the Pacers but still came away with the win. They allowed 28 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd. Their best defensive effort came in the 3rd, where they gave up just 25 points, but they allowed 33 in the 4th. Overall, the Pacers shot 47% from the field.
From three-point range, the Nuggets held the Pacers to 32% shooting, with Indiana making 14 threes. Denver sent the Pacers to the free-throw line 27 times, where they converted 22. The Nuggets grabbed 32 defensive rebounds, allowing 8 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals and 4 blocks.
Will Milwaukee Make it Happen at Home?
The Bucks fell to 32-25 on the season after a 100-97 road loss to the Rockets on Tuesday. Milwaukee, who entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 197 were well below the O/U line of 228.
Milwaukee went on a 10-0 run early, but Houston responded, and the game was tied at 85 heading into the 4th quarter. The Bucks were held to just 12 points in the final period, while the Rockets scored 15 to seal the win.
In their 100-97 loss to the Rockets, the Bucks shot just 40% from the field, with a three-point percentage of 32.4%, making 12 threes. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 27 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 52.9% from the floor.
Damian Lillard added 22 points, hitting 4 threes at a 36.4% rate, while Brook Lopez and AJ Green each contributed 12 points. Lillard scored 7 points in the 4th quarter, while Giannis added 5 in the final period.
Even with a strong defensive effort, the Bucks couldn’t come away with the win, despite holding the Rockets to 100 points on 40% shooting. Milwaukee’s defense was particularly strong in the 4th quarter, where they allowed just 15 points.
The Bucks limited the Rockets to 12 made threes on 34% shooting from deep. Houston also went 14/18 from the free-throw line. Defensively, Milwaukee recorded 11 steals and 5 blocks.