Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 4/4/25

At 10:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (-121) will take on the Golden State Warriors (+102) in a Western Conference matchup. Denver (-1.5) is currently on a two-game losing streak and is 3rd in the West, while Golden State (+1.5) has won four straight and is 5th in the conference.

This game will be played at the Chase Center in San Francisco and can be seen on NBCS. The over/under line for the game is currently 233.5 points.

DENVER NUGGETS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Denver Nuggets -1.5

This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Friday, April 4th.

WHY BET THE DENVER NUGGETS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 143-127 in favor of the Nuggets.
  • Our projections have Nikola Jokić finishing with 29 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.5% and knocking down 15 threes.

Will the Nuggets Win on the Road?

The Nuggets’ record dropped to 47-30 after a 113-106 home loss to the Spurs on Wednesday. Denver, who were -2.5 point favorites, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 219 points fell short of the O/U line of 228.

Denver fell behind early, trailing 33-21 after the 1st quarter. They tied the 2nd quarter 33-33 and outscored the Spurs 31-22 in the 3rd. An 11-0 run gave the Nuggets a 96-88 lead, but they were outscored 25-21 in the 4th, leading to the loss.

In their 113-106 loss to the Spurs, the Nuggets shot just 39.6% from the field and 29.5% from three-point range, though they did connect on 13 threes. Russell Westbrook led the way with 30 points, 11 rebounds, and 6 assists, hitting 3 threes at 30% efficiency.

Westbrook scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while Jalen Pickett added 6 of his 17 points in the 4th, finishing with 11 rebounds and 10 assists. Hunter Tyson contributed 18 points, knocking down 3 threes at 33.3%.

The Nuggets struggled defensively in the 1st and 2nd quarters, allowing 33 points in each, but they tightened up in the 3rd, giving up just 22 points. They also limited the Spurs to 25 points in the 4th, but it wasn’t enough to avoid a 113-106 loss. Denver held San Antonio to 44% shooting overall.

From beyond the arc, the Spurs hit 17 threes at a 37% clip. The Nuggets sent San Antonio to the line 13 times, where they made 10 free throws. Denver finished with 44 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals and 4 blocks.

Does Golden State Have What it Takes at Home?

Golden State improved to 45-31 on the season with a 123-116 road win over the Lakers on Thursday. The Warriors entered the game as +1 point underdogs and covered the spread with the win.

Golden State took control early, leading 60-47 at halftime after a strong 2nd quarter. Despite being outscored 39-35 in the 4th quarter, they held on for the win. The total points of 239.5 exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 230.5.

Stephen Curry’s 16-point third quarter propelled him to a game-high 37 points, as the Warriors defeated the Lakers 123-116. Curry also added 6 assists, while Brandin Podziemski contributed 28 points, 8 rebounds, and 8 threes on 80% shooting from deep.

Golden State connected on 19 threes, shooting 45.2% from beyond the arc and 47.6% overall. Jonathan Kuminga chipped in 18 points, and Jimmy Butler scored 7 of his 11 points in the final period.

Defensively, the Warriors were solid in the 1st and 2nd quarters, allowing just 22 and 25 points, respectively. However, they struggled in the 4th, giving up 39 points, but still managed to secure the win. Overall, they allowed the Lakers to shoot 45% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Warriors allowed 18 threes on 38% shooting. They also sent the Lakers to the line 23 times, where they made 20 free throws. The Warriors finished with 32 defensive rebounds, while allowing 14 offensive boards, and recorded 5 steals and 2 blocks.