Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 3/17/25
At 10:00 ET, the Denver Nuggets (+163) will travel to San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors (-196). The Warriors are currently on a 7-game win streak and are favored by 5.5 points. The over/under line for the game is set at 236.
This Western Conference matchup will be played at Chase Center and can be seen on ESPN.
DENVER NUGGETS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Denver Nuggets +5.5
This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Monday, March 17th.
WHY BET THE DENVER NUGGETS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 124-121 in favor of the Nuggets.
- Our projections have Nikola Jokić finishing with 28 points, 13 rebounds and 10 assists.
- From the field, we have the Nuggets finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.5% and knocking down 12 threes.
Can the Nuggets Lock in a Win at San Francisco?
The Nuggets fell to 43-25 on the season after a 126-123 home loss to the Wizards on Saturday. Denver, who were -12 point favorites, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 249, going over the line of 241.
Denver got off to a strong start, leading 44-30 after the 1st quarter, but the Wizards chipped away, winning the 2nd quarter 33-28 and the 3rd 32-23. The game was tied at 95 heading into the 4th, but an 11-0 run by Washington put them ahead 106-95. Denver couldn’t recover, despite a late push.
Nikola Jokić was dominant in the Nuggets’ 126-123 loss to the Wizards, finishing with 40 points, 13 rebounds, and 9 assists, shooting 53.3% from the field. He scored 20 of his points in the 1st quarter. Jamal Murray added 24 points, hitting 3 threes at 37.5%, while Russell Westbrook contributed 22 points and 11 assists, making 4 threes at 50% efficiency.
Denver shot 50.5% from the field, connecting on 12 threes at 35.3%. Westbrook scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Jokić was limited to 4 points in the final period.
Defensively, the Nuggets couldn’t contain the Wizards, allowing 126 points while Washington shot 48% from the field. Denver gave up 30 points in the 1st quarter, 33 in the 2nd, 32 in the 3rd, and 31 in the 4th.
The Nuggets struggled to defend the three, as the Wizards hit 19 threes at a 42% clip. Denver also allowed 13 offensive rebounds but managed to record 12 steals and 8 blocks.
Will the Warriors Win at Chase Center?
The Warriors improved to 39-28 on the season with a 97-94 win over the Knicks on Saturday. Golden State was at home and favored by 6.5 points, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 191, well under the O/U line of 228.5.
Golden State held a 3-point lead going into the 4th quarter after winning the 2nd quarter 22-19 and losing the 3rd 22-21. Both teams scored 22 points in the final quarter.
The Warriors managed just 97 points in their win over the Knicks, shooting 39.8% from the field. Their three-point shooting was below average, hitting 31.7% with 13 made threes.
Stephen Curry led the way with 28 points, knocking down 4 threes at 30.8%. Moses Moody added 18 points, also hitting 4 threes at 50% from deep.
Despite a rough start, the Warriors’ defense tightened up after the 1st quarter, allowing just 19 points in the 2nd and 22 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters to help secure a 97-94 win over the Knicks. Golden State held New York to 43% shooting from the field.
The Warriors did a solid job defending the three, with the Knicks hitting just 9 threes on 37% shooting. Golden State also sent New York to the free-throw line only 13 times. Defensively, the Warriors recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks.