Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons Betting Pick & Prediction 2/28/25

The Detroit Pistons will put their 8-game win streak on the line tonight as they host the Denver Nuggets in a non-conference matchup. The Pistons (-125) are currently favored by 1.5 points over the Nuggets (+103).
This game will tip-off at 7:00 ET and can be seen on FDSD. The over/under line for this matchup is 236.5.
DENVER NUGGETS VS DETROIT PISTONS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Detroit Pistons -1.5
This game will be played at Little Caesars Arena at 7:00 ET on Friday, February 28th.
WHY BET THE DETROIT PISTONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-122 in favor of the Pistons.
- Our projections have Cade Cunningham finishing with 26 points, 6 rebounds and 9 assists.
- From the field, we have the Pistons finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.2% and knocking down 15 threes.
Will the Nuggets Make it Happen on the Road?
The Nuggets dropped to 38-21 on the season after a 121-112 road loss to the Bucks on Thursday. Denver, favored by 3.5 points, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 233, falling short of the 241.5-point over/under line.
Denver took a 57-54 lead into halftime, but Milwaukee outscored them 30-24 in the third quarter. Heading into the fourth quarter trailing 84-81, the Nuggets couldn’t close the gap, as the Bucks outscored them 37-31 in the final period.
Nikola Jokić was the standout performer for the Nuggets in their loss to the Bucks, finishing with 32 points, 14 rebounds, and 10 assists while shooting 81.2% from the field. Jamal Murray added 20 points, and Christian Braun contributed 13 points and 10 rebounds.
As a team, the Nuggets struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 9 threes at a 26.5% clip, and shot 44.8% overall. Jokić scored 16 points in the 1st quarter, while Murray added 9 points in the 4th.
The Nuggets’ defense held the Bucks to 121 points on 46% shooting but struggled in the 4th quarter, giving up 37 points. They allowed 14 made threes, with Milwaukee shooting 41% from deep.
Denver sent the Bucks to the line 28 times, where they made 23 free throws. The Nuggets grabbed 41 defensive rebounds, allowed 7 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals.
Will the Pistons Secure A Victory as Home Favorites?
The Pistons improved to 33-26 on the season with a 117-97 win over the Celtics on Wednesday. Detroit, who were +4.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread with the 20-point victory. The total points for the game were 214, falling short of the 225 O/U line.
Detroit went on a 15-0 run early in the game, stretching the score from 20-19 to 34-20. Although Boston battled back in the 2nd quarter, outscoring the Pistons 35-26, Detroit responded by winning the 3rd quarter 35-24 and closed out the game strong, holding the Celtics to 18 points in the 4th while scoring 27 of their own.
Malik Beasley knocked down 6 threes at a 54.5% clip, finishing with 26 points and 5 rebounds in the Pistons’ 117-97 win over the Celtics. Cade Cunningham added 21 points and 11 assists, while Tobias Harris contributed 16 points and 9 boards, shooting 60% from the field.
Detroit connected on 13 threes, shooting 39.4% from deep and 52.8% overall. Beasley scored 8 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, with Cunningham also adding 8 in the opening period.
The Pistons put together a strong defensive performance, holding the Celtics to just 97 points. They were especially effective in the 1st and 4th quarters, allowing only 20 and 18 points, respectively. Overall, Detroit limited Boston to 41% shooting from the field.
Despite giving up 21 threes on 42% shooting, the Pistons sent the Celtics to the line just 15 times, where they made 10 free throws. Detroit also controlled the boards, allowing only 7 offensive rebounds, while adding 13 steals and 5 blocks.