Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 4/16/25
At 10:00 ET, the Sacramento Kings (-193) will host the Dallas Mavericks (+163) in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings are favored by 5 points and the over/under line is set at 215.5.
This game will be played at the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento and can be seen on ESPN.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +5
This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Wednesday, April 16th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 146-116 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Anthony Davis finishing with 25 points, 12 rebounds and 4 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 13 threes.
Can the Dallas Offense Score Enough on the Road?
The Mavericks closed out their season with a 132-97 loss to the Grizzlies on Sunday, dropping their record to 39-43. Dallas, who were -2 point favorites, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The total score of 229 points just edged out the over/under line of 228.
Memphis took control early with a 13-0 run, turning a 19-16 lead into 29-19. Dallas couldn’t recover, as the Grizzlies outscored them 38-28 in the 1st quarter. The Mavericks were down 104-75 going into the 4th, and Memphis continued to dominate, winning the final quarter 28-22.
In their 132-97 loss to the Grizzlies, the Mavericks struggled offensively, shooting just 43.7% from the field and connecting on only 5 three-pointers at a 17.9% rate. Daniel Gafford led the way with 20 points, 11 of which came in the 1st quarter, while Jaden Hardy added 17 points, 9 of which came in the 4th quarter.
Max Christie contributed 14 points, scoring 4 points in each of the first three quarters. Naji Marshall and Kai Jones each chipped in 11 points, with Jones adding 5 points in the 3rd quarter and 4 more in the 4th.
Defensively, the Mavericks struggled on Sunday, allowing 132 points in a loss to the Grizzlies. Dallas gave up 38 points in the 1st quarter and 37 in the 3rd, with Memphis shooting 50% from the field.
The Grizzlies hit 15 threes at a 36% rate. Dallas sent Memphis to the line 15 times, where they made 13 free throws. The Mavericks grabbed 28 defensive rebounds but allowed 19 offensive boards, finishing with 6 steals and 3 blocks.
Can Sacramento Live Up to the Hype at Home?
With a 109-98 win over the Suns on Sunday, the Kings improved to 40-42 for the season. Sacramento was favored by 14 points at home but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total of 207 points fell short of the 222.5 O/U line.
The Kings started strong, leading 33-25 after the 1st quarter. Though the Suns took the 2nd quarter 29-24, Sacramento responded by winning the 3rd quarter 29-21. Both teams scored 23 points in the 4th, with the Kings maintaining their 11-point lead.
In their win over the Suns, the Kings shot 52.3% from the field and hit 14 threes at a 41.2% clip. Jonas Valančiūnas led the way with 22 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 90.9% from the floor.
Domantas Sabonis added 20 points, 12 rebounds, and 4 threes, hitting 80% of his shots. Zach LaVine contributed 16 points, also connecting on 4 threes.
The Kings’ defense held the Suns to 98 points on Sunday, with Sacramento giving up 25 points in the 1st quarter and 29 in the 2nd. They tightened up in the 3rd, allowing just 21 points, and finished strong in the 4th, conceding 23 points.
Sacramento limited Phoenix to 15 made threes on 34% shooting. The Suns only went to the line six times, making three free throws. The Kings grabbed 33 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and added 6 steals and 4 blocks.