Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings Betting Pick & Prediction 3/26/24
The Sacramento Kings (-119) will host the Dallas Mavericks (-102) at the Golden 1 Center in a Western Conference matchup. The Kings are favored by 1.5 points and have won two straight games, while the Mavericks have won four in a row.
This game will tip-off at 10:00 ET and will be shown on TNT. The over/under line for this game is 235.5.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS SACRAMENTO KINGS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +1.5
This game will be played at Golden 1 Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, March 26th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 116-110 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.1% and knocking down 16 threes.
Can the Mavericks Grab a Win on the Road?
Dallas has a 40-31 ATS record for the season and has covered the spread in their last two games. On the road, the Mavericks are 22-12 ATS compared to 18-19 ATS at home.
As the underdog, Dallas is 10-18 straight-up and 13-15 vs. the spread. The O/U record for the Mavericks is 34-37, and the under has hit in their last four games.
In Western Conference play, the Mavericks are 26-19 and are currently in 7th place. Against the West, they are 16-10 compared to 9-5 in their division.
Dallas’ most recent game was a 115-105 win over the Jazz. The O/U line for that game was 238.5, and the Mavericks covered the spread as 7.5-point favorites.
On average, Dallas’ games have finished with 235.5 points this season, which is the same as today’s O/U line. The Mavericks have a 42-29 record overall and have won four straight games.
When it comes to scoring, the Mavericks are one of the NBA’s most prolific teams, ranking 6th in the league with 118.6 points per game. However, they have actually been slightly better on the road, averaging 117.9 points compared to 119.3 at home.
So far this season, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.6% of their games. In terms of pace, Dallas is 12th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Mavericks are 11th in the NBA in field goal percentage at 48%. They are also one of the league’s best three-point shooting teams, averaging 14.5 made threes per game (3rd).
Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.9 points per contest. Dallas’ defense is currently forcing 11.8 turnovers per game, which is 7th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 22nd in blocked shots, with an average of 4.7 rejections per game.
Can Sacramento Lock in a Home Win?
Sacramento is favored by 1.5 points today and has gone 31-18 as the favorite this season. In the Western Conference, the Kings are currently 6th and 2nd in the Pacific Division with a record of 42-29.
The Kings have won two straight games and have an ATS record of 36-35 for the season. At home, they are 14-20 ATS and have covered the spread in their last two games.
Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 34-36-1, and the under has hit in their last four games. Today’s line of 235.5 is higher than their season average of 233.7 points per game.
In their most recent game, the Kings defeated the 76ers by a score of 108-96. The O/U line for that game was 220.5 points. Sacramento was favored by 7.5 points going into the game.
This season, the Kings are 9th in the NBA in scoring at 117.6 points per game. At home, they are averaging 119.8 points per game (7th).
Sacramento is 11th in the league in pace at 99.6 possessions per game. They are also 6th in assists at 28.6 per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 5th in made threes but just 18th in three-point shooting percentage (36%).
Defensively, the Kings come into today’s game ranked 18th in the NBA at 116.1 points per game allowed. However, they have shown signs of improvements lately, ranking 10th in the league over their last three games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Kings defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.2% while allowing 38.7% from downtown.