Dallas Mavericks vs New York Knicks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/25/25

At 7:30 ET, the Knicks (-398) will host the Mavericks (+311) in a non-conference matchup. New York is favored by 9.5 and the over/under line is 225.
Currently, the Knicks are 44-26 and 3rd in the Eastern Conference, while the Mavericks are 35-37 and 11th in the Western Conference. Dallas has won two straight games.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS NEW YORK KNICKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New York Knicks -9.5
This game will be played at Madison Square Garden at 7:30 ET on Tuesday, March 25th.
WHY BET THE NEW YORK KNICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 104-80 in favor of the Knicks.
- Our projections have Karl-Anthony Towns finishing with 24 points, 13 rebounds and 3 assists.
- From the field, we have the Knicks finishing with a field goal percentage of 50.0% and knocking down 10 threes.
Can the Mavericks Pull Off a Win at New York?
The Mavericks improved to 35-37 on the season with a 120-101 road win over the Nets on Monday. Dallas, favored by 3.5 points, covered the spread with the victory. The game’s total points of 221.5 narrowly exceeded the over/under line of 218.5.
Dallas took control early, leading 32-17 after the 1st quarter. They allowed the Nets to win the 2nd quarter 31-30, but responded by outscoring Brooklyn 34-29 in the 3rd. Heading into the 4th with a 96-77 lead, the Mavericks and Nets both scored 24 points in the final quarter.
The Mavericks shot 56.3% from the field in their 120-101 win over the Nets, overcoming a poor three-point shooting night where they hit just 10 threes at 32.3% efficiency. Naji Marshall led the way with 22 points, while Spencer Dinwiddie and P.J. Washington each added 16, with Dinwiddie also dishing out 12 assists.
Marshall scored 6 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, while Washington put up 11 of his 16 points in the 2nd. Kai Jones and Anthony Davis also contributed 6 points in the opening period, with Jones adding another 6 in the 3rd.
Despite allowing 101 points on 51% shooting, the Mavericks’ defense held strong in key moments, especially in the 1st quarter, where they gave up just 17 points. They also limited the Nets to 24 points in the 4th, helping secure the win.
Dallas did a good job defending the three, holding Brooklyn to 11 made threes on 33% shooting. The Mavericks sent the Nets to the line 14 times, where they made 10 free throws. Defensively, Dallas grabbed 30 rebounds, allowed 9 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals.
Will New York Win at Home?
The Knicks improved to 44-26 on the season with a 122-103 win over the Wizards on Saturday. New York, playing at home, covered the -15.5 point spread, while the game’s total of 225 points narrowly exceeded the 223.5 O/U line.
New York took control early, leading 66-41 at halftime after outscoring Washington 35-20 in the 2nd quarter. The Wizards made a push with an 11-0 run but couldn’t close the gap, as the Knicks held on in the 4th quarter, winning 30-27.
Karl-Anthony Towns led the Knicks with 31 points and 11 rebounds in their win over the Wizards, scoring 10 points in the 3rd quarter and 11 more in the 4th. Mikal Bridges added 27 points, with 20 of those coming in the 2nd quarter, and OG Anunoby contributed 23 points, hitting 4 threes at an 80% rate.
The Knicks shot 48.4% from the field, making 13 threes at a 37.1% clip. Anunoby and Bridges both connected on 4 three-pointers, with Bridges shooting 50% from deep.
The Knicks put together a strong defensive performance on Saturday, holding the Wizards to 103 points. They were especially effective in the 1st and 2nd quarters, allowing just 21 and 20 points, respectively. Despite a 35-point 3rd quarter from Washington, New York tightened up in the 4th, giving up 27 points to secure the win.
New York limited the Wizards to 44% shooting from the field and just 30% from beyond the arc, where Washington made only 11 threes. The Knicks also sent the Wizards to the line 19 times, with Washington converting 14 free throws. Defensively, New York recorded 13 steals and 3 blocks.