Dallas Mavericks vs New Orleans Pelicans Betting Pick & Prediction 1/29/25
The Dallas Mavericks (-127) are favored by 2 points over the New Orleans Pelicans (+106) in a Southwest Division matchup. The over/under line for the game is 231.5 points.
This game will be played at the Smoothie King Center in New Orleans. The Pelicans have lost three straight games and are 14th in the Western Conference. The Mavericks are 9th in the West and have a record of 25-22.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS NEW ORLEANS PELICANS BETTING PICK
The Pick: New Orleans Pelicans +2
This game will be played at Smoothie King Center at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, January 29th.
WHY BET THE NEW ORLEANS PELICANS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 136-108 in favor of the Pelicans.
- Our projections have Zion Williamson finishing with 23 points, 7 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Pelicans finishing with a field goal percentage of 45.0% and knocking down 15 threes.
Are Dallas Ready for a Road Win?
The Mavericks improved to 25-22 on the season with a 130-108 win over the Wizards on Monday. Playing at home, Dallas entered the game as -13 point favorites and covered the spread. The total points of 238 went over the line of 231.5.
Dallas set the tone early, dominating the 1st quarter with a 42-16 lead. They outscored Washington 31-27 in the 2nd quarter, and despite losing the 3rd and 4th quarters, they entered the final period with a 101-76 lead, allowing them to cruise to victory.
In their win over the Wizards, the Mavericks shot 53.3% from the field and connected on 20 threes at a 44.4% rate. Klay Thompson hit 7 threes, finishing with 23 points, 21 of which came in the 1st quarter.
Olivier-Maxence Prosper added 20 points, scoring 7 in the 4th. P.J. Washington contributed 19 points, and Kyrie Irving scored 10 of his 13 points in the 3rd quarter.
The Mavericks set the defensive tone early, holding the Wizards to just 16 points in the 1st quarter. Despite giving up 33 points in the 3rd and 32 in the 4th, they still managed to keep Washington to 108 points on 41% shooting.
Dallas did a great job defending the three, allowing just 11 made threes on 29% shooting. They also sent the Wizards to the line 17 times, where they made 13 free throws. The Mavericks finished with 5 steals and 7 blocks.
Can the Pelicans Offense Score Enough at Home?
The Pelicans dropped to 12-35 on the season after a 113-104 road loss to the Raptors on Monday. New Orleans, who entered the game as +1 underdogs, failed to cover the spread. The total score of 217 points fell short of the 232.5-point O/U line.
New Orleans struggled early, trailing 56-40 at halftime, but they surged back with a dominant 35-18 third quarter. However, they couldn’t maintain the momentum, as Toronto outscored them 39-29 in the final period.
Zion Williamson’s 31 points on 72.2% shooting stood out in the Pelicans’ 104-point effort against the Raptors. CJ McCollum added 22 points, while Dejounte Murray contributed 21, despite shooting just 29.4% from the field.
New Orleans struggled from deep, hitting only 6 threes at a 21.4% clip, with an overall field goal percentage of 43.8%. Trey Murphy scored 10 of his 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while Williamson and McCollum each added 9 points in the 4th.
Despite a strong defensive effort in the 3rd quarter, where the Pelicans held the Raptors to just 18 points, they couldn’t contain Toronto in the 4th, giving up 39 points in a 113-104 loss. Overall, New Orleans allowed the Raptors to shoot 43% from the field.
The Pelicans did well defending the three-point line, holding Toronto to 27% shooting with just 9 made threes. New Orleans also recorded 9 steals and 11 blocks in the game.