Dallas Mavericks vs Milwaukee Bucks Betting Pick & Prediction 3/5/25

At 8:00 ET, the 10th-place Mavericks (+357) will take on the 4th-place Bucks (-467) in a non-conference matchup. Milwaukee is currently riding a three-game win streak, while Dallas has lost two straight.

The over/under line for this game is set at 225.5 points. FDSW will have the TV coverage for this game, which will be played at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS MILWAUKEE BUCKS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Bucks -10.5

This game will be played at Fiserv Forum at 8:00 ET on Wednesday, March 5th.

WHY BET THE MILWAUKEE BUCKS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 131-63 in favor of the Bucks.
  • Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo finishing with 30 points, 12 rebounds and 6 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Bucks finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.5% and knocking down 15 threes.

Can the Mavericks Pull Off a Road Win?

Dallas fell to 32-30 on the season after a 122-98 loss to the Kings on Monday. The Mavericks were +2 point underdogs at home but failed to cover the spread. The total score of 220 points fell short of the O/U line of 231.5.

A pivotal 16-0 run by the Kings turned the game, as they went from trailing 65-54 to leading 70-65. Dallas struggled in the 3rd quarter, getting outscored 34-16, before winning the 4th quarter 32-28.

The Mavericks struggled offensively in their 122-98 loss to the Kings, shooting just 26.9% from beyond the arc with only 7 made threes. Their overall field goal percentage was 45.5%, and they failed to reach 100 points.

Kai Jones led Dallas with 21 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 90% from the field. Naji Marshall added 18 points and 6 assists, scoring 8 of his points in the 3rd quarter.

Defensively, the Mavericks struggled against the Kings, giving up 122 points while allowing Sacramento to shoot 52% from the field. Dallas had a tough time in the 2nd and 3rd quarters, where they allowed 33 and 34 points, respectively.

The Mavericks also had issues defending the three, as the Kings hit 16 threes at a 47% clip. Dallas sent Sacramento to the line 12 times, where they converted all their free throws. The Mavericks finished with 30 defensive rebounds, allowing 9 offensive boards, and recorded 5 steals and 1 block.

Will the Bucks Find a Way to Win at Home?

Milwaukee improved to 35-25 on the season with a 127-121 road win over the Hawks on Tuesday. The Bucks, who were favored by 5 points, covered the spread, and the game’s total of 248 points went over the pre-game line of 244.

After a 10-0 run by the Hawks early on, Milwaukee found themselves trailing 45-39. However, they closed out the game strong, outscoring Atlanta 35-26 in the 4th quarter to secure the win.

In their win over the Hawks, the Bucks shot 51% from the field, but struggled from three-point range, hitting just 29.7% with 11 made threes. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 10 assists, while Damian Lillard added 23 points, despite shooting 20% from deep.

Kyle Kuzma contributed 17 points, hitting 70% of his shots, and Kevin Porter scored 12 of his 15 points in the 4th quarter. Lillard also added 5 points in the final period, while Giannis scored 4 points in the 4th.

The Bucks gave up 121 points to the Hawks but tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, allowing just 26 points to help secure the win. Milwaukee allowed 33 points in both the 1st and 2nd quarters and 29 in the 3rd. The Hawks shot 45% from the field.

From beyond the arc, the Hawks hit 16 threes at a 39% clip. The Bucks sent Atlanta to the line 17 times, where they made 13 free throws. Milwaukee finished with 42 defensive rebounds, gave up 11 offensive boards, and recorded 8 steals.