Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 11/24/24

At 6:00 ET, the Miami Heat (6-7) will host the Dallas Mavericks (9-7) in a non-conference matchup. Miami is currently favored by 3 points and has a moneyline of -146. The over/under line for this game is 221.5.

Both teams are currently in the playoff picture in their respective conferences. The Mavericks are 9th in the West, while the Heat are 6th in the East. Dallas has won 4 straight games coming into this one.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK

The Pick: Miami Heat -3

This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 6:00 ET on Sunday, November 24th.

WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 146-108 in favor of the Heat.
• Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
• From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 46.1% and knocking down 17 threes.

Can the Mavericks Lock in a Road Win?

The Mavericks improved to 9-7 on the season after a 123-120 win over the Nuggets on Friday. Dallas, who entered the game as +5 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The game’s total score of 243 points went over the pre-game O/U line of 229.

Dallas took control in the 2nd quarter, outscoring Denver 40-22, but the Nuggets responded with a 13-0 run, narrowing the gap from 81-64 to 81-77. Heading into the 4th with a 95-89 lead, the Mavericks held on despite being outscored 31-28 in the final period.

Naji Marshall’s 26 points on 73.3% shooting, including 3 threes at 75%, led the Mavericks to a win over the Nuggets. P.J. Washington added 22 points and 13 rebounds, while Kyrie Irving contributed 19 points despite shooting just 36.8% from the field.

Dallas shot 50.5% overall, hitting 10 threes at a 37% clip. Marshall scored 10 points in the 2nd quarter, while Irving added 13 of his 19 in the same period. Washington finished strong with 9 points in the 4th.

Defensively, the Mavericks had their best quarter in the 2nd, holding the Nuggets to 22 points, but struggled in the 3rd, giving up 36. Overall, they allowed 120 points on 47% shooting from the field.

Dallas sent Denver to the line 29 times, where they made 19 free throws. The Mavericks also gave up 15 threes on 51% shooting. They finished with 11 steals and 5 blocks.

Can the Heat Grab a Win at Home?

Miami moved to 6-7 on the season with a 106-89 win over the 76ers on Monday. The Heat, favored by 2.5 points, covered the spread at home. The game’s total of 195 points fell well short of the 212.5-point line.

After trailing 33-25 after the 1st quarter, Miami turned things around by winning the 2nd quarter 28-23. A key 11-0 run broke a 62-62 tie, and they dominated the 3rd quarter 35-16 before edging out the 76ers 18-17 in the 4th.

Jimmy Butler’s 30-point, 10-rebound performance on 66.7% shooting led the Heat to a win over the 76ers, despite the team’s overall shooting struggles. Miami shot just 41.4% from the field and 29.5% from three-point range, hitting 13 threes in the game.

Tyler Herro added 18 points, with 16 coming in the 3rd quarter, while Duncan Robinson contributed 13 points, 8 of which also came in the 3rd. Butler scored 11 points in the 1st quarter and added 8 more in the 2nd.

Despite a rough start, the Heat’s defense locked down the 76ers after the 1st quarter, allowing just 56 points over the final three quarters in their 106-89 win. Miami gave up 33 points in the 1st but tightened up, allowing 23 in the 2nd, 16 in the 3rd, and 17 in the 4th.

The Heat held the 76ers to 41% shooting, including just 24% from three-point range, with Philadelphia hitting only 10 threes. Miami also sent the 76ers to the line 12 times, where they made 9 free throws. The Heat dominated the boards, giving up just 2 offensive rebounds, while also recording 10 steals.