Dallas Mavericks vs Los Angeles Clippers Betting Pick & Prediction 4/4/25

At 10:30 ET, the Clippers (-439) will host the Mavericks (+340) in a Western Conference matchup. The Clippers are favored by 9.5, and the over/under line is set at 224.5.
Los Angeles is currently 8th in the Western Conference, while Dallas is 9th. The Clippers are on a 2-game win streak and have a record of 44-32. The Mavericks are 38-39 and are 3rd in the Southwest Division.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +9.5
This game will be played at Intuit Dome at 10:30 ET on Friday, April 4th.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-120 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Anthony Davis finishing with 25 points, 12 rebounds and 3 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.5% and knocking down 12 threes.
Can Dallas Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?
With a 120-118 win over the Hawks on Wednesday, the Mavericks are now 38-39 for the season. Dallas was favored by 3.5 points but didn’t cover the spread, and the total points of 238 fell just short of the 241-point line.
A key 10-0 run helped Dallas take control, turning an 88-86 deficit into a 96-88 lead. They entered the 4th quarter up 101-96 but were outscored 22-19 in the final period.
In their win over the Hawks, the Mavericks shot 53% from the field and hit 15 threes at a 45.5% clip. Anthony Davis led the way with 34 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 60.9% from the floor.
Klay Thompson added 17 points, knocking down 5 threes at 55.6%. Spencer Dinwiddie contributed 14 points and 10 assists, while Jaden Hardy chipped in 13 points, with 8 coming in the 3rd quarter.
Despite allowing 72 points in the 1st and 2nd quarters, the Mavericks tightened up their defense in the 2nd half, giving up just 24 points in the 3rd and 22 in the 4th to secure the win. Overall, they allowed 118 points on 43% shooting from the field.
From beyond the arc, the Mavericks gave up 15 threes on 38% shooting. They also sent the Hawks to the line 22 times, where they made 19 free throws. Dallas finished with 38 defensive rebounds, while giving up 12 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals and 8 blocks.
Does Los Angeles Have a Shot at a Home Win?
With a 114-98 win over the Pelicans on Wednesday, the Clippers improved to 44-32 for the season. Playing at home, L.A. was favored by 18 points but didn’t cover the spread. The total score of 212 points fell short of the 219.5-point O/U line.
A key moment came early when the Clippers went on a 10-0 run to break a 10-10 tie. They outscored the Pelicans 37-31 in the 2nd quarter and, after a close 3rd quarter, sealed the win by outscoring New Orleans 31-26 in the 4th.
The Clippers shot 52.6% from the field and hit 13 threes at a 40.6% clip in their win over the Pelicans. Kawhi Leonard led the way with 28 points, including 13 in the 2nd quarter, and connected on 3 threes at 60% efficiency.
James Harden contributed 21 points and 10 assists, scoring 10 points in the opening quarter. Ivica Zubac added 17 points and 10 rebounds, shooting 75% from the field, while Bogdan Bogdanović chipped in 9 of his 16 points in the 4th quarter.
The Clippers’ defense was strong enough to hold the Pelicans to just 98 points, despite New Orleans shooting 50% from the field. Los Angeles had a standout 1st quarter, limiting the Pelicans to 16 points, though they gave up 31 in the 2nd. They tightened up in the 3rd and 4th quarters, allowing 25 and 26 points, respectively.
From beyond the arc, the Clippers were excellent, holding the Pelicans to just 4 made threes on 18% shooting. They also sent New Orleans to the line only 11 times, where they made 8 free throws. The Clippers finished with 28 defensive rebounds, gave up 7 offensive boards, and recorded 9 steals and 4 blocks.