Dallas Mavericks vs Houston Rockets Betting Pick & Prediction 3/14/25

The Dallas Mavericks travel to Houston to take on the Rockets in a Southwest Division matchup. The Rockets (-625) are favored by 11.5 points over the Mavericks (+450). The over/under line for the game is 223.5 points.

This game will be played at the Toyota Center in Houston. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 ET and can be seen on SCHN. The Rockets (41-25) are currently on a four-game win streak and are 5th in the Western Conference. The Mavericks (33-34) are 10th in the West and 3rd in the Southwest Division.

DALLAS MAVERICKS VS HOUSTON ROCKETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Houston Rockets -11.5

This game will be played at Toyota Center at 8:00 ET on Friday, March 14th.

WHY BET THE HOUSTON ROCKETS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-84 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Our projections have Jalen Green finishing with 21 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists.
  • From the field, we have the Rockets finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.3% and knocking down 14 threes.

Can Dallas Deliver Being Underdogs on the Road?

The Mavericks fell to 33-34 on the season after a 126-116 road loss to the Spurs on Wednesday. Dallas entered the game as +6 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 242 points went over the pre-game line of 237.5.

Dallas started strong with a 13-0 run, taking the score from 21-20 to 33-21. However, the Spurs responded with a 44-point 2nd quarter. Dallas couldn’t close the gap, as they entered the 4th quarter down 97-87, and the teams matched each other with 29 points in the final period.

In their 126-116 loss to the Spurs, the Mavericks shot 55.6% from the field and 40.6% from three, hitting 13 triples. Brandon Williams led the team with 19 points, adding 7 in the 4th quarter.

Dante Exum contributed 17 points, 11 of which came in the 3rd quarter. Kessler Edwards and Naji Marshall each added 15 points, with Edwards hitting all of his threes.

Defensively, the Mavericks started strong, holding the Spurs to 20 points in the 1st quarter, but they struggled in the 2nd, giving up 44 points. Overall, they allowed 126 points on 53% shooting from the field.

Dallas did a good job defending the three, with the Spurs hitting just 11 threes at 31%. The Mavericks also recorded 8 steals but didn’t register any blocks in the game.

Can the Rockets Pull Off a Home Win?

With a 111-104 win over the Suns on Wednesday, the Rockets improved to 41-25 this season. Houston was favored by 4.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total points of 215 fell short of the 227-point line.

Houston took control early, leading 32-27 after the 1st quarter. The teams played to a 25-25 tie in the 2nd quarter, but the Rockets edged ahead by winning the 3rd quarter 31-27. Despite being outscored 25-23 in the 4th, Houston held on for the win.

Jalen Green’s 29 points and 7 rebounds led the Rockets to a 111-104 win over the Suns, as he shot 50% from the field and hit 3 threes at a 50% clip. Alperen Şengün was perfect from the field, scoring 20 points, while Dillon Brooks added 19 points, hitting 2 threes at 40%.

Houston connected on 12 threes, shooting 31.6% from beyond the arc, and finished with a 45.5% field goal percentage overall. Green scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while Tari Eason contributed 7 of his 15 points in the 4th.

Even with the Suns shooting 53% from the field, the Rockets held them to 104 points, giving up 27 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters and 25 in the 2nd and 4th. Houston limited Phoenix’s three-point damage, allowing just 10 threes on 35% shooting.

Houston sent Phoenix to the line 20 times, where they converted 16 free throws. The Rockets gave up 5 offensive rebounds while collecting 11 steals and 3 blocks.