Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors Betting Pick & Prediction 4/2/24
The Dallas Mavericks will take on the Golden State Warriors tonight in a Western Conference matchup. The game is set to tip-off at 10:00 ET and will be televised on TNT.
Golden State is currently favored by 1 point and has a record of 40-34. The Mavericks are 5th in the Western Conference and have won 7 straight games. The over/under line for this game is 233.5 points.
DALLAS MAVERICKS VS GOLDEN STATE WARRIORS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +1
This game will be played at Chase Center at 10:00 ET on Tuesday, April 2nd.
WHY BET THE DALLAS MAVERICKS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 117-112 in favor of the Mavericks.
- Our projections have Luka Doncic finishing with Luka Doncic points, 9 rebounds and 10 assists.
- From the field, we have the Mavericks finishing with a field goal percentage of 49.5% and knocking down 16 threes.
Can the Mavericks Pull the Upset on the Road?
In their last game, the Mavericks defeated the Rockets by a score of 125-107. The O/U line for that game was 230 points. Dallas covered the spread as 3.5-point favorites.
This season, the Mavericks have an O/U record of 35-39 and have seen an average of 235 points per game. In their last two games, the O/U lines have been higher than today’s line of 233.5.
Dallas comes into today’s game as the 5th seed in the Western Conference with a record of 45-29. In the Western Conference, they are 29-19 and have gone 16-10 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Mavericks have an average scoring differential of +1.1 points per game. They are 23-14 on the road this season and have won five straight games on the road.
Against the spread, the Mavericks have covered in five straight games and have an overall ATS record of 43-31. On the road, they are 25-12 ATS compared to 18-19 ATS at home.
As underdogs, the Mavericks have gone 11-18 straight-up and 14-15 against the spread. They have been the underdog in 29 of their 74 games this season.
Heading into the game, the Mavericks are one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league, averaging 14.7 made threes per game (2nd). Overall, they are 6th in scoring at 118.7 points per game. On the road, the Mavericks are 3rd in scoring at 118.1 PPG.
When it comes to field goal percentage, the Mavericks are 11th in the league at 48%. In terms of pace, they are 11th in the NBA at 99.5 possessions per game.
Coming into the game, the Mavericks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 60.8% of their games. They are also 8th in true shooting percentage.
Coming into today’s game, the Mavericks’ defense is giving up an average of 116.3 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Mavericks are causing 11.8 turnovers per game, ranking 6th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 18th in rejections, averaging 4.8 blocked shots each game.
Can the Warriors Grab a Win at Home?
Golden State is favored by 1 point at home today against the Mavericks. The Warriors have won their last four games and are 40-34 on the season, which is 10th in the Western Conference.
This season, the Warriors have been favored in 48 of their 74 games and have a record of 32-16 in those games. As the favorite, they have gone 24-24 against the spread and have an average scoring margin of +5.3 points per game.
When looking at their O/U record for the season, the Warriors are 36-37-1. Today’s line of 233.5 is just above their season average of 231.5. In their games this year, the average combined scoring is 233.8.
In their last game, the Warriors beat the Spurs by a score of 117-113. The O/U line for that game was 227.5, and Golden State was favored by 10.5 points going into the game.
Overall, the Warriors are 40-33 ATS this season, with a 25-12 record on the road and 15-21 at home. Their last four wins have also come on the road.
The Warriors are currently 7th in the NBA in scoring at 118 points per game. However, they are only 11th in scoring at home this season. In terms of pace, Golden State is 10th in the league at 99.6 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 3rd in the NBA in both made threes per game and three-point attempts. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc. In terms of two-point field goals, Golden State is 14th in the league.
So far this season, the Warriors have outscored the NBA scoring average in 58.1% of their games. In terms of assists, Golden State is 4th in the NBA at 29.2 per game. Additionally, they are 3rd in offensive rebounds.
At this time, the Warriors’ defense is positioned 17th in the NBA, permitting 115.9 points per game. The Golden State defense has allowed opponents to shoot 35.8% from beyond the arc this season. Opposing teams are also hitting 46.8% of their field goal attempts vs. Golden State.