Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 9/6/24

The Rockies and Brewers are set to face off in an NL matchup at 6:10 PM ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. The Rockies are 5th in the NL West with an overall record of 52-89, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central at 81-59. However, they are the heavy money line favorite for Friday’s matchup, with their odds sitting at -226. The Rockies are +189 on the money line.

Friday’s over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Brewers will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Colorado will start Ryan Feltner, while the Brewers are sending Frankie Montas to the mound.

COLORADO ROCKIES VS MILWAUKEE BREWERS BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at American Family Field at 6:10 ET on Friday, September 6th.

HOW TO BET THE ROCKIES VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Rockies to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Rockies Records & Stats

The Rockies pulled off a big upset in their most recent game, closing out their series vs. the Braves with a 3-1 win. Colorado was the +232 underdog on the money line going into this road game. Things started off well for the Rockies, as they got on the board with a run in the 2nd inning and added another run in the 4th.

Colorado’s offense was carried by Ezequiel Tovar, who went 2/4 with a homer and scored two runs. The Rockies also got a big game from Austin Gomber, who picked up the win and went eight innings, giving up just one run on five hits. He only had six strikeouts in the outing and issued just one walk.

With an overall record of 52-89, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 32.5 games. So far, they have gone just 15-28 in divisional matchups. Colorado will be on the road today, taking on the Brewers, and they are 20-52 on the road this season.

As the underdog, the Rockies have gone 50-87 this season compared to 2-2 as the favorite. They have dropped two straight series and are 10-31-4 in series this year. Colorado’s overall record is just 4-6 heading into today’s game.

When betting on the Rockies to cover the run line, it’s been a better proposition to take them as the underdog, as they are 68-69 ATS in that role compared to 1-3 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 69-72, and their average run differential is -1.5 runs per game. Their average run differential in losses is -4.1 runs per game, compared to +2.8 runs per game in wins. On the road, they are 33-39 ATS, and their average run differential is -2.2 runs per game.

The Rockies are on the road against the Brewers today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average for Rockies games this season is 10.0 runs, and their over/under record is 69-69. The average over/under line for Rockies games is 10 runs, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 9-5. The Rockies have had 121 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 85.8% of their games. They have had just six games with over/under lines set lower than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 4.3% of their games. The under has hit in each of their last four games.

Ryan Feltner gets the start for the Rockies today as he faces the Brewers on the road. So far this season, he has made 25 starts and has a record of 1-10 with an ERA of 5.11. Feltner’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.43. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Feltner has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Looking back further, he has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings.

The Rockies offense has been a bit below average this season, averaging 4.2 runs per game (19th). However, they have been much better at home, averaging 5 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .243, which is 12th in the league, and have the 15th ranked slugging percentage in the league. One thing to watch is their team strikeout numbers, as they are 27th in the league in this category.

Currently, the Rockies have three players with at least 22 home runs, with Brenton Doyle, Ezequiel Tovar, and Michael Toglia all having strong power numbers. Toglia is batting just .216 this season, but his 22 homers are the most on the team. Brendan Rodgers has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/29 in his last seven games with three homers.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 3-2 loss to St. Louis, Colin Rea was solid on the mound, allowing just two runs on four hits and striking out four. Eric Haase went 1/4 with a homer, and the Brewers scored their only other run in thejson 7th.

Joel Payamps took the loss out of the bullpen for the Brewers, as Milwaukee allowed a run in the top of the 10th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Brewers were the slight favorite at -120 at home.

Milwaukee is 81-59 overall, putting them nine games ahead of the Cubs for the NL Central lead. The Brewers have dropped two straight games, losing the final two games of their series vs. the Cardinals. So far, they have gone 30-19 in divisional games.

At home, the Brewers are 41-27 this season while going 40-32 on the road. As the favorite, the Brewers are 47-34 and 34-25 as the underdog. Milwaukee’s overall series record is 25-16-4, and they have won two straight series on the road.

The Brewers have been a strong run line bet on the road this season, going 39-33. Their average run differential on the road is +1.2 runs per game. They have been a profitable run line bet as an underdog, going 40-19. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7 runs per game.

Oddsmakers have set the over/under line for tonight’s game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Colorado Rockies at 7.5 runs. Both teams have been involved in high-scoring games this season, as their combined run average is 8.8. Overall, the over has hit in 74.3% of Milwaukee’s games this season, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 22-9.

Frankie Montas gets the start for the Brewers today and is coming off a rough outing vs. the Reds. In that start, he went 6 innings, giving up 4 earned runs, and 1 homer. Montas finished with a no-decision in the outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Montas’ ERA for the season is 4.70, along with a record of 6-9. Out of his 25 starts, Montas has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.84 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 17 homers and is averaging 3.85 walks per nine innings.

Currently, the Brewers are 5th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per game. As a team, the Brewers are batting .251, which is 8th in the league, and are 3rd in the league in on-base percentage. Milwaukee has been good at avoiding strikeouts this season, but they are also just 20th in home runs.

Willy Adames comes into the game as the league’s 3rd leading RBI man, with 100 RBIs this season, and his 29 homers are the best mark on the team. Adames has gone deep three times in his past five games, but he is just 5/21 in that stretch. Catcher William Contreras is batting .278 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 80 RBIs.