Cleveland Guardians vs New York Yankees Betting Pick & Prediction 8/20/24

From Yankee Stadium in New York, we have the Guardians and Yankees facing off in an AL matchup. Tuesday’s forecast in New York calls for clear skies and temperatures in the mid-70s. Cleveland is on a three-game losing streak and is 72-52, while the Yankees are 73-52 and have won two straight.
The money line odds have the Yankees as the favorite at -163, while the Guardians are at +138. Today’s over/under line is sitting at 8.5 runs, and Luis Gil will be starting for the Yankees, while the Guardians are sending Matthew Boyd to the mound.
CLEVELAND GUARDIANS VS NEW YORK YANKEES BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Guardians Moneyline +138
This game will be played at Yankee Stadium at 7:05 ET on Tuesday, August 20th.
HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS YANKEES:
- We have the Guardians winning by a score of 5 to 4
- If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Guardians to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Guardians Records & Stats
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Brewers with a 2-0 loss on the road. The Guardians were the slight favorite at +106 on the money line. Things started off well for the Guardians, as they got on the board with a run in the 1st inning but couldn’t hold the lead. The Brewers scored the go-ahead run in the 2nd and added another run in the 4th to close things out.
Ben Lively put together a good start for the Guardians, going six innings and giving up just two runs on five hits. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and took the loss. Cleveland’s offense scored their only run in the 1st inning and had just two hits the rest of the way.
Cleveland heads into today’s road matchup vs. the Yankees having dropped three straight games, and they are 72-52 overall. The Guardians currently lead the AL Central by 2.5 games over the Royals. Cleveland’s overall series record is 23-12-5 this season.
At home, the Guardians have gone 38-20 this year, and they are just above .500 at 34-32 on the road. As the underdog, the Guardians are 22-26 this year, and they have dropped three straight as the road underdog. When favored, Cleveland has gone 50-26 this year.
The Guardians have been a solid run line bet this season, as they have a run line record of 61-63. They have been slightly better on the road, going 34-32 against the run line. They have been a better bet as an underdog, going 28-20 against the run line, compared to 33-43 as a favorite. Their average run margin is +0.6 runs per game.
The over/under line for today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and New York Yankees is set at 8.5 runs. The Guardians have played 75 games this season with over/under lines, and 53.2% of those lines have been set at 8.5 runs or lower. Their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 58-57 overall. The under has hit in their last two games.
Matthew Boyd will be making his 2nd start of the season, and it will come on the road against the Yankees. In his first start, Boyd went 5 1/3 innings and gave up just 1 earned run, but he didn’t factor into the decision. Boyd struck out 6 in that outing and gave up 3 hits.
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 100 RBIs are 2nd in the MLB and the best mark on the Guardians. He has also been a big power threat, with his 32 homers being the best mark on the team and 6th in the league. Ramirez is batting .277 for the season. Josh Naylor is 2nd on the team with 27 homers and has a batting average of .245.
Over his last eight games, Jhonkensy Noel has gone deep three times, but he has just four hits in his last 20 at-bats. As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 13th in the league in scoring. They are also one of the league’s best at avoiding strikeouts.
Yankees Records & Stats
The Yankees will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Tigers with a 3-2 loss. This was New York’s second straight loss, as they also dropped the final game of their series vs. the Blue Jays. Heading into the game, the Yankees were the slight favorite at +106 on the money line.
Marcus Stroman put together a good start for the Yankees, going six innings and not giving up a run. However, the Yankees’ offense couldn’t hold up their end of the bargain, as they scored just two runs on six hits. Giancarlo Stanton was hot at the plate, going 2/3 with a run scored.
The Yankees lost the final two games of their series vs. the Tigers, and they currently lead the AL East by a half-game over the Orioles. This season, the Yankees are 73-52 overall, and they are 22-23 in AL East matchups. New York is 41-25 on the road compared to 32-27 at home, and they are 55-45 as the favorite this year.
As for their overall series record, the Yankees are 23-13-4 this year, and they are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Yankees have an overall record of 23-13-4 this year.
Despite a winning run line record overall, the Yankees have been a poor bet at home this season, going just 26-33 against the run line. They have been a much better bet on the road, where they are 40-26 against the run line. They have been favored in most of their games this season, going 45-55 against the run line as the favorite.
When the Yankees play at home, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game this season. Overall, the over/under record for Yankees games this season is 68-53, and their games have had an average over/under line of 9 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over/under record is 27-18. So far this season, 41 of their games have had over/under lines set above 8.5 runs, accounting for 32.8% of their games, while 39 games have had lines set below 8.5 runs, making up 31.2% of their games. The under has hit in the last three games for the Yankees.
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today and comes in with a record of 12-6 and an ERA of 3.25. Looking at his overall numbers, Gil has made 23 starts, and opponents are batting .178 this year. In his 23 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 10.43 strikeouts per nine innings. Gil’s last outing was a rough one, as he took the loss and gave up four earned runs in four innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 4.11 compared to 5.94 at home.
As a team, the Yankees are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest. New York’s offense is also the top on-base percentage team in the league and have the best team OPS in the league. They have also been one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, ranking 2nd overall.
Right fielder Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 15/33 in his last nine games with three homers and seven RBIs. For the season, he is batting .331 with a league-leading 44 homers and 111 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a great season, hitting .300 with 34 homers and 87 RBIs.