Cleveland Guardians vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Pick & Prediction 8/17/24

From American Family Field in Milwaukee, we have an interleague matchup between the Guardians and Brewers. First pitch for this one is set for 7:15 PM ET, and FOX is carrying it on TV. The over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs, and the Brewers are favored on the money line (-115).

Cleveland comes in with a record of 72-50 and they are 1st in the AL Central, while the Brewers are 1st in the NL Central with a record of 70-52. Milwaukee has won three straight. Today’s pitching matchup is Tanner Bibee for the Guardians and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers.

MILWAUKEE BREWERS VS CLEVELAND GUARDIANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline -115

This game will be played at American Family Field at 7:15 ET on Saturday, August 17th.

HOW TO BET THE GUARDIANS VS BREWERS:

• We have the Brewers winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Brewers to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Despite being the slight underdogs on the road, the Brewers picked up a 5-3 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. Milwaukee’s offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding two more in the 3rd. On the other side, the Guardians got on the board with one run in the 4th and added their final two runs in the 8th.

Aaron Civale pitched well for the Brewers in this one, going six innings and striking out four without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Joel Payamps got the save. Gavin Williams had a rough outing for the Guardians, taking the loss.

Willy Adames and José Ramírez each homered for their respective teams. Adames, along with David Fry and Will Brennan, each had two RBIs for the Brewers’ offense.

Guardians Records & Stats

Cleveland heads into today’s game in 1st place in the AL Central with an overall record of 72-50. They currently lead the Twins by three games for the top spot in the division. The Guardians are 21-17 against other teams in the AL Central this year.

At home, the Guardians have gone 38-20 this season, and they are just above .500 at 34-30 on the road. So far, they have been really good as the favorite, going 50-26, and they are 22-24 as the underdog this year. The Guardians’ overall series record is 23-11-5.

When the Guardians win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.3 runs per game. That’s why they have a winning run line record overall, even though they’re just 60-62. They’re 33-31 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of +0.5 runs per game. They’re 27-19 against the run line as an underdog.

The Cleveland Guardians are on the road today to face the Milwaukee Brewers. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Guardians have played 83 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 68.0% of their games. Their combined run average for the season is 8.5 runs per game.

Cleveland is sending right-hander Tanner Bibee to the mound today vs. the Brewers. He has made 23 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 3.39 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going 5 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Looking back further, he has allowed just one earned run in three of his last four outings. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 6-2 record and 2.98 ERA compared to 4-2 with a 4.47 ERA at home.

The Guardians have been an average offensive team this season, averaging 4.6 runs per game (12th) and batting .240 as a team (14th). They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game. One area where the Guardians have been strong is in avoiding strikeouts, as they are 4th in the league in fewest strikeouts per game. Cleveland’s team BABIP of .27 is 23rd in the league.

José Ramírez is having a strong season for the Guardians, batting .281 with a team-high 32 home runs and 100 RBIs. His 100 RBIs are 2nd in the league. Josh Naylor is also having a good season, as his 26 homers are 11th in the league, and he is 4th on the team with 88 RBIs. Over his last seven games, Will Brennan is hitting .440, while Jhonkensy Noel has three homers in his last six games, but is batting just .222 over that stretch.

Brewers Records & Stats

Milwaukee is currently 70-52 overall this season, putting them 1st in the NL Central. They come into today’s game having won three straight games and are 10.0 games ahead of the Cardinals for the division lead. So far, they have gone 25-14 against other teams in the NL Central.

The Brewers have taken the first game of the series vs. the Guardians, and their overall series record is 21-14-4 this year. At home, the Brewers are 36-24 this year and 34-28 on the road. Milwaukee has been good as the underdog this year, where they are 32-24 and 38-28 as the favorite. The Brewers have also won three straight games as the underdog.

When the Brewers win, they win big, with an average run margin of +3.6. That’s helped them to a 64-58 run line record on the season. They’ve been even better on the road, going 35-27 ATS, compared to 29-31 at home. They’ve been a better bet as an underdog, going 38-18 ATS, compared to 26-40 as the favorite.

The Milwaukee Brewers have played to the over in 66 of their 115 games this season, and their games have had an average of 8.8 runs scored per game. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 19 of their 25 games. Overall, 75.4% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.

Freddy Peralta will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Dodgers, as he gets the start for the Brewers vs. the Guardians today. In that last start, he gave up four earned runs in six innings of work. Peralta ended up taking the loss in that outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Peralta has a record of 7-7 this season and an ERA of 4.11. Opposing batters are hitting .218 off Peralta this season. He has made nine quality starts and is averaging 10.9 strikeouts per nine innings.

William Contreras and Jackson Chourio have been swinging the bat well of late for the Brewers, with Contreras going 5/17 in his last five games with three homers and five runs scored, and Chourio is 7/19 over that same stretch with a home run and three runs batted in. Chourio also has a five-game hitting streak coming into today’s game. Willy Adames comes into the game as the Brewers’ top power threat, as his 22 homers are 15th best in the league and leads the team.

As a team, the Brewers are 8th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road this season, also averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .254 (7th) and have the league’s 3rd best on-base percentage. Milwaukee’s team batting average of .254 is 7th best in the MLB.