Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 4/26/25
The Cleveland Cavaliers (-223) are 5.5-point favorites on the road against the Miami Heat (+186) in an Eastern Conference matchup. The over/under line is set at 213.5 points and tipoff is scheduled for 1:00 ET.
Cleveland is currently on a two-game winning streak and has an overall record of 64-18. Meanwhile, the Heat have dropped two straight and sit at 37-45 on the year. TNT will have the television coverage from the Kaseya Center.
CLEVELAND CAVALIERS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cleveland Cavaliers -5.5
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 1:00 ET on Saturday, April 26th.
WHY BET THE CLEVELAND CAVALIERS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 145-134 in favor of the Cavaliers.
- Our projections have Donovan Mitchell finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 5 assists.
- From the field, we have the Cavaliers finishing with a field goal percentage of 48.6% and knocking down 20 threes.
Will Cleveland Pull Through as the Favored Road Team?
The Cavaliers improved to 64-18 with a 121-112 win over the Heat on Wednesday. Cleveland was favored by 12 points but didn’t cover the spread, while the game’s total of 233 points went over the 213.5-point line.
Cleveland took control with a 43-27 second quarter, but Miami made things interesting with a 10-0 run in the fourth, cutting the lead from 93-77 to 103-77 before the Cavs closed it out.
Donovan Mitchell’s 7 threes at a 70% clip helped the Cavaliers connect on 22 three-pointers, shooting 48.9% from deep in their win over the Heat. Mitchell finished with 30 points, 17 of which came in the 4th quarter, along with 6 assists and 6 rebounds.
Darius Garland added 21 points and 9 assists, while Evan Mobley contributed 20 points, shooting 70% from the field. Mobley also hit 3 threes, and Max Strus added 9 of his 14 points in the 2nd quarter.
Defensively, the Cavaliers gave up 112 points to the Heat but still managed to secure the win. Cleveland allowed 24 points in the 1st quarter, 27 in the 2nd, 29 in the 3rd, and 32 in the 4th.
Miami shot 51% from the field, including 35% from three-point range, where they hit 16 threes. The Heat also went 12/16 from the free-throw line. The Cavaliers finished with 28 defensive rebounds, gave up 9 offensive boards, and recorded 10 steals.
Will the Heat Pull Through as the Home Underdog?
The Heat dropped to 37-45 on the season after a 121-112 loss to the Cavaliers on Wednesday. Miami entered the game as +12 point underdogs but managed to cover the spread. The total points of 233 exceeded the O/U line of 213.5 by 19.5 points.
Miami’s chances took a hit in the 2nd quarter when Cleveland outscored them 43-27. The Heat responded with a 10-0 run, narrowing the gap from 93-77 to 103-77, but it wasn’t enough to complete the comeback.
Tyler Herro led the Heat with 33 points and 6 rebounds in their 121-112 loss to the Cavaliers, shooting 58.3% from the field and hitting 4 threes at 36.4%. Davion Mitchell added 18 points, with 14 coming in the 4th quarter, finishing 77.8% from the field. Haywood Highsmith contributed 17 points, knocking down 5 threes at an 83.3% rate.
Miami shot 51.9% from the field, making 16 threes at a 35.6% clip. Herro scored 13 points in the 2nd quarter, while Mitchell added 14 in the final period. Highsmith also scored 6 points in the 4th quarter.
Defensively, the Heat struggled in the 2nd quarter, giving up 43 points, which contributed to their 121-112 loss to the Cavaliers. They allowed Cleveland to shoot 47% from the field overall.
Miami had trouble defending the three-point line, where the Cavaliers hit 22 threes at a 48% clip. The Heat also sent Cleveland to the free-throw line 23 times, where they made 21. The Heat finished with 3 steals and 3 blocks.