Cincinnati Reds vs San Francisco Giants Betting Pick & Prediction 5/12/24

At 4:05 PM from Oracle Park in San Francisco, we have an NL matchup between the Reds and Giants. Heading into Sunday’s game, the Reds are 17-22, while the Giants are 18-23. On the money line, the Giants are the favorite at -131.

The over/under line is at 7.5 runs, and starting for the Giants is Kyle Harrison. The Reds are sending Frankie Montas to the mound. You can catch this one on TV on BSOH.

CINCINNATI REDS VS SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cincinnati Reds Moneyline +109

This game will be played at Oracle Park at 4:05 ET on Sunday, May 12th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS GIANTS:

• We have the Reds winning by a score of 5 to 4
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Reds to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

San Francisco cruised to a 5-1 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Giants had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their five runs. As for the Reds, they scored their only run in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Giants were the slight underdogs at +126.

Mason Black only went 4 1/3 innings for the Giants but gave up just one run and one hit. He finished the game with only two strikeouts but induced nine ground balls. Taylor Rogers got the win out of the bullpen. As for the Reds, Nick Lodolo gave up four earned runs in six innings of work.

At the plate, the Giants were led by Matt Chapman, who homered and went 2/4 with four RBIs. Elly De La Cruz also had a two-hit game and scored the Reds’ only run. Jake Fraley went 3/4 for Cincinnati.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati is 17-22 overall this season and is 4th in the NL Central, seven games behind the Brewers. The Reds are 1-2 in division games this year and are looking to get back on track, having gone just 1-9 over their last 10 games.

As the Reds are on the road today, they are 8-9 compared to 9-13 at home. So far, they have been .500 both as the favorite and as the underdog, putting together a mark of 10-10 in each situation. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 4-7-1, and they have lost four straight series overall and two straight at home.

The Reds have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 18-21 overall. They have been even better on the run line on the road, going 10-7. Their average run differential on the road is +0.5 runs per game. In games they win, they have an average run differential of +4.1 runs per game.

The Cincinnati Reds have played 29 games this season with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 74.4% of their games. Their over/under record for the season is 18-19, and their average combined run average is 8.6 runs per game. In their last two games, the combined run total has been 6 and 6 runs, respectively, and the over/under line for today’s game against the San Francisco Giants is set at 7.5 runs.

Frankie Montas gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Giants on the road. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 3.55 ERA. Montas’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.30. The right-hander has turned in two quality starts this year and is averaging 7.46 strikeouts per nine innings. In his most recent outing, Montas took the loss, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts.

Elly De La Cruz comes into today’s game with the Reds batting .272 for the season, and he has been even better of late, going 5/18 in his last five games. De La Cruz also has a team-high nine homers and is 12th in the league with 21 RBIs. Spencer Steer and the team’s top home run hitters are also batting in the low .200s, as Steer has four homers but is batting just .248.

As a team, the Reds are batting just .213, which is the worst in the league. However, they are 12th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.3 runs per game. This is a slight improvement from their home/road splits, as they are averaging 4.4 runs per game on the road and 4.2 at home.

Giants Records & Stats

San Francisco will host the Reds today with an overall record of 18-23, placing them 4th in the NL West. The Giants are nine games behind the Dodgers for the division lead. So far, they are 8-9 in divisional games. The Giants are looking to bounce back after dropping the final two games of their series vs. the Diamondbacks.

At home, the Giants have gone 10-8 this year compared to 8-15 on the road. As the favorite, the Giants are 12-11 and 6-12 as the underdog. The Giants have an overall series record of 5-5-2 this year.

San Francisco is 19-22 vs. the run line this season, including a 7-11 mark at home. The Giants have been favored in 23 games, going 8-15 vs. the run line in those contests. They are 11-7 vs. the run line as an underdog. San Francisco’s average run differential is -1.0 runs per game. They have gone over the run line in two straight games.

San Francisco’s over/under record on the season is 18-21, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 7-7. The Giants have played 23 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 56.1% of their games. Their under streak is at 2 games, as their last two games have gone under the total.

Left-hander Kyle Harrison gets the start for the Giants today as he faces the Reds at home. He has made eight starts this season and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 3.20. Harrison’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.22. The last time he pitched, Harrison was excellent, going seven innings and picking up the win. In that outing, he didn’t give up a run, issued two walks, and gave up two homers. Harrison has made five quality starts this season and is averaging 8 strikeouts per nine innings. So far, he has allowed five homers at home and five on the road.

Michael Conforto has been red hot for the Giants, batting .407 over his last eight games, including two home runs. This has him 6th in the league in home runs and 2nd on the team with 20 RBIs. Thairo Estrada has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 11/36 in his last nine games, with two homers and seven RBIs.

As a team, the Giants are averaging 3.7 runs per game, which is 25th in the league. Their team batting average of .239 is 11th in the league, and they are also 13th in home runs. Overall, their offense has been pretty average in terms of strikeouts, walks, and on-base percentage.