Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago Cubs Betting Pick & Prediction 9/29/24

From Wrigley Field in Chicago, we have the Reds and Cubs facing off in an NL Central matchup. Hunter Greene is starting for the Reds, and he is facing off against Caleb Kilian. The Cubs are favored on the money line, with their odds sitting at +104 compared to the Reds at -124. The over/under line is currently at 7 runs.

First pitch for Sunday’s matchup is set for 3:20 PM ET. BSOH is carrying this game on TV. The Reds are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, as they are 76-85 and 5th in the NL Central. The Cubs are 83-78 and 2nd in the NL Central.

CHICAGO CUBS VS CINCINNATI REDS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline +104

This game will be played at Wrigley Field at 3:20 ET on Sunday, September 29th.

HOW TO BET THE REDS VS CUBS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 6 to 5
• If you’re looking for a run line pick, we also like the Cubs to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Chicago cruised to a 3-0 win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a huge 8th inning, scoring all three of their runs. As for the Reds, they only had three hits in the game and didn’t score a run until the 9th inning.

Kyle Hendricks started for the Cubs and picked up the win, going 7 1/3 innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with just two strikeouts but induced 12 groundouts. On the other side, Rhett Lowder got the start for the Reds and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work.

Seiya Suzuki was the difference for the Cubs, as he went 2/2 with a run scored and an RBI. Both Kris Bryant and Anthony Rizzo scored two runs for Chicago’s offense.

Reds Records & Stats

Cincinnati will be on the road for their final game of the season, and they are looking to snap a five-game losing streak, which has them at 76-85 overall. The Reds are 17 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead, and they are 5th in the division with a 23-28 record against other NL Central teams.

At home, the Reds have gone 39-42 this year, and they are just below .500 at 37-43 on the road. As the road favorite, the Reds have gone 12-6 this year, and they are 41-51 as the underdog. Cincinnati’s overall series record is 19-29-3, and they are losing the series vs. the Cubs 0-2.

When it comes to the run line, the Reds have been a solid bet on the road, going 48-32 on the season. They have been especially good as the underdog, going 57-35 against the run line. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.8, while it drops to -3.4 in losses.

The Reds have played to the under in six straight games, and they have an over/under record of 73-81 on the season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season has been 9 runs. Today’s line is set at 7 runs, and they have an over/under record of 2-3-2 when the line is set at 7 runs. Overall, 95% of their games have had higher lines than today’s 7-run total.

Hunter Greene gets the start for the Reds today as he faces the Cubs on the road. He has made 25 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with an ERA of 2.83. Greene’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.02. In his 25 starts, he has turned in 13 quality starts and is averaging 10.21 strikeouts per nine innings. Greene’s most recent outing came on September 22nd, where he took the loss, going three innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent hitter for the Reds this season, batting .259 overall and .289 over his last nine games. He also leads the team with 25 homers and is 2nd on the team with 74 RBIs. Spencer Steer and Jeimer Candelario are also near the top of the team’s home run list, but both are batting below .230 for the season.

Over his last two games, Blake Dunn is 2/5 with three runs scored and a home run. De La Cruz has also homered in his last two games. Tyler Stephenson and Jonathan India have also homered in their last nine games, but both are batting under .300 in that stretch.

Cubs Records & Stats

With an overall record of 83-78, the Cubs are 2nd in the NL Central, trailing the Brewers by 10 games. The Cubs have taken the first two games of this series vs. the Reds, and their record vs. other NL Central teams is 23-28 this season. Chicago has won two straight games and is 6-4 across their last 10.

At home, the Cubs are 44-36 this season compared to a 39-42 mark on the road. As the home underdog, the Cubs have gone 14-10 this season, and they are 38-40 as the underdog overall. Chicago’s record as the favorite is 45-38, and their overall series record is 22-25-3.

Chicago has been a solid run line bet this season, going 78-83, but they have been much better on the road, going 47-34. They have been a good run line bet in their wins, going 3.8 runs per game, but they have been a good run line bet when they are the underdog, going 50-28.

The Chicago Cubs are playing at home today against the Cincinnati Reds. The over/under line for the game is set at 7 runs. The combined run average for Cubs games this season is 8.7 runs per game, and their over/under record is 75-80. When the over/under line has been set at 7 runs this season, their record is 4-6-1. The over/under line has been set at 7 runs for 11 of their 162 games this season, which is 6.8% of their games.

Caleb Kilian will be making his first start of the season for the Cubs, and he will be taking on the Reds at home. Kilian came out of the bullpen in his first outing of the season, and he took a loss after going 5 2/3 innings and giving up 6 runs (5 earned) on 8 hits. He did strike out 8 batters in that outing.

So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .243, and their team on-base percentage of .318 is 9th in the MLB. The Cubs have been good at drawing walks this season and have the 6th fewest strikeouts in the league.

Seiya Suzuki comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak and is 2nd on the team with 21 homers. He is also batting .283 for the season. Ian Happ and Michael Busch are tied for the team lead with 25 homers, with Happ leading the team with 86 RBIs. Nico Hoerner has gone 12/32 in his last nine games and is batting .274 for the season.