Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets Betting Pick & Prediction 5/1/24

At 7:10 PM from Citi Field in New York, we have an NL matchup between the Cubs and Mets. Heading into Wednesday’s game, the Cubs are 18-12 overall, and the Mets are 15-14. Chicago is currently favored on the money line at -120.

Jose Butto is starting for the Mets, and he is facing off against Shota Imanaga for the Cubs. The over/under line is at 7.5 runs. You can catch this one on TV on SNY.

CHICAGO CUBS VS NEW YORK METS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Chicago Cubs Moneyline -120

This game will be played at Citi Field at 7:10 ET on Wednesday, May 1st.

HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS METS:

• We have the Cubs winning by a score of 5 to 4
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Mets to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over

New York picked up a 4-2 win over the Cubs in the most recent game of this series. The Mets had a huge 6th inning, scoring three of their four runs. As for the Cubs, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Mets were favored at -126 on the money line.

Sean Manaea got the start for the Mets, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued four walks. Javier Assad only went five innings for the Cubs, giving up one run on five hits.

DJ Stewart was the difference for the Mets, as he homered and scored three times while going 1/3. Mike Tauchman had a two-hit game for the Cubs.

Cubs Records & Stats

Chicago is 18-12 overall this season, putting them 2nd in the NL Central, just a half-game behind the Brewers for the division lead. The Cubs are looking for their first win in the NL Central, as they have yet to play a divisional game this year. The Cubs dropped the final game of their series vs. the Red Sox and have since won the first game vs. the Mets.

At home, the Cubs have been strong, going 10-3 this year. They are just under .500 on the road at 8-9. So far, the Cubs have been good as the favorite, going 7-3, and they are 11-9 as the underdog. Chicago’s overall series record is 5-3-1 this year.

When the Cubs win, they win big. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.5 runs per game, and their run line record is 21-9 overall. They have been a strong bet on the run line, especially when they are the underdog, as they are 15-5 in those games.

The Cubs have gone under the total in their last two games, and their over/under record for the season is now 13-16. The average over/under line for their games this season has been 8 runs, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game. The O/U line for today’s game against the Mets is 7.5 runs, and the Cubs’ record in games with that line is 4-3. So far this season, 66.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s total of 7.5 runs.

Shota Imanaga will be on the mound for the Cubs as they take on the Mets. He has been solid in each of his first three starts, picking up a win in each. In his last outing, he went 6 1/3 innings and struck out 7, giving up just 1 earned run. He has given up a total of 2 homers this season.

So far this season, the Cubs are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 13th in the league, and are 10th in home runs. Nico Hoerner and Cody Bellinger are both looking to get their power numbers up, as Hoerner is still looking for his first homer, and Bellinger has just five so far.

Michael Busch and Cody Bellinger are both tied for the team lead with 17 RBIs, and Busch’s six homers are 5th best in the league. Over his last five games, Bellinger is hitting .333 with a homer, and Mike Tauchman has also gone deep in his last five games while going 6/18.

Mets Records & Stats

After dropping the first game of their series vs. the Cubs, the Mets took the most recent game. Overall, the Mets are 15-14 this season, which has them 4.5 games behind the Braves in the NL East. This year, they have gone 2-1 in divisional games.

The Mets have an overall series record of 5-4 this season, and they had dropped two straight series before taking the series opener vs. the Cubs. At home, the Mets are 8-9 compared to 7-5 on the road. As the underdog, New York has dropped four straight games.

The Mets have been a solid run-line bet on the road, going 8-4 against the spread. They have a run-line record of 15-14 overall, with an average run differential of +0.2 runs per game. They have been an underdog in 12 games this season, going 7-5 against the run line.

When the Mets play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs 58.6% of the time, and the over/under record is 14-15. The average combined run average in their games is 8.6 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. Their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 4-4. The under has hit in three straight games for the Mets, and their last game had a combined total of 6 runs, which was under the 7.0 run line.

José Buttó is getting the start for the Mets today against the Cubs. He has started 3 games so far this season, and in his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Cardinals. In that start, Buttó went 5 2/3 innings, giving up 4 earned runs and 2 homers.

So far this season, the Mets have been one of the better road teams in the league in terms of scoring runs, averaging 5.6 runs per game. Overall, they are 17th in the league at 4.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .239, which is 12th in the league, and are 8th in the league in home runs.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled with a batting average of just .208 this season, but he does lead the team with 18 RBIs and is 11th in the league in walks. Pete Alonso has gone deep a team-high eight times this season but is hitting just .234. Over his last nine games, Alonso is batting .219. Francisco Lindor has also been struggling at the plate, with a batting average of just .197.