Chicago Cubs vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 7/11/24
Thursday’s interleague matchup between the Cubs and Orioles is set to get started at 6:35 PM ET from Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. The Orioles are the heavy favorite on the money line, with their odds sitting at -131 compared to the Cubs at +112. The over/under line is currently 8.5 runs.
Chicago comes into the game on a three-game winning streak, and their overall record is 44-49. The Orioles are 1st in the AL East with a record of 57-35 and will be looking to end a two-game losing streak. Albert Suarez is starting for the Orioles, while the Cubs are sending Justin Steele to the mound. MASN will be televising Thursday’s game.
BALTIMORE ORIOLES VS CHICAGO CUBS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Baltimore Orioles Moneyline -131
This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Thursday, July 11th.
HOW TO BET THE CUBS VS ORIOLES:
- We have the Orioles winning by a score of 5 to 4
- However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Cubs to cover
- As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 9 runs and like the over
Chicago cruised to a 4-0 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Cubs had a two-run 2nd inning and added insurance with one run in the 5th and another in the 9th. As for the Orioles, they had their best scoring chance in the 4th but could only muster one run. Heading into the game, the Cubs were at +149 on the money line.
Shota Imanaga started for the Cubs and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. On the other side, Corbin Burnes got the start for the Orioles and took the loss, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work.
At the plate, the Cubs were led by Christopher Morel, Nico Hoerner, and Michael Busch, as they were the only three Cubs hitters to have more than one hit. Morel and Cody Bellinger each homered for Chicago’s only two extra-base hits. Baltimore’s top hitter was Ryan Mountcastle, who went 3/4.
Cubs Records & Stats
Chicago is on a three-game winning streak, and they will be looking for another win today on the road vs. the Orioles. The Cubs are 5th in the NL Central, and they trail the Brewers by 10 games for the division lead. So far, they are just 10-19 in divisional games.
At home, the Cubs have gone 25-21 this season, and they are 19-28 on the road. As the road underdog, the Cubs are 13-22 this season, and they are 22-27 as the underdog overall. Chicago’s series record is 10-17-2, and they have won two straight games as the underdog.
The Cubs have been a good bet on the run line this season, going 45-48 overall. They are 27-20 on the run line on the road and have covered in their last two games. They are 32-17 on the run line as an underdog and have an average run margin of -0.1 runs per game this season.
The Chicago Cubs are on the road today against the Baltimore Orioles. The O/U line for the game is set at 8.5 runs, which matches the combined run average for Cubs games this season. Chicago has a 40-49 O/U record on the year, and their games have had an average O/U line of 8 runs. When the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, the Cubs have a 9-10 O/U record. This is the 27th time this season that the O/U line has been set at 8.5 runs, accounting for 29.0% of their games.
Left-hander Justin Steele gets the start for the Cubs today as he faces the Orioles on the road. So far this season, he has made 13 starts and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 2.95. Steele’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.00. In his last outing, he pitched really well, going nine innings and giving up just one earned run. He finished with seven strikeouts in that outing. Looking back further, Steele has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. He has allowed two homers in two of his last three outings.
Chicago comes into today’s game averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. They have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.3 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .231 and are also below average in terms of slugging percentage and OPS. The Cubs do have a good team walk rate and have the 10th best on-base percentage in the league.
Christopher Morel is the Cubs’ leader in home runs, but he is batting just .200 this season. Ian Happ is batting .241, but his 14 homers are 2nd on the team and 14th in the MLB. Happ also leads the Cubs with 55 RBIs. Cody Bellinger is 4th on the team with a .269 batting average and has gone deep 9 times this season.
Orioles Records & Stats
Baltimore is hosting the Cubs today with an overall record of 57-35, good or 1st place in the AL East. The Orioles lead the Yankees by 2 games for the top spot in the division. So far, they have been good against other AL East teams, putting up a record of 19-7. The Orioles are looking to snap a two-game losing streak today, and this comes after dropping the final game before the All-Star break.
As the favorite, the Orioles have gone 46-29 this year, and they are 11-6 as the underdog. At home, the Orioles are 29-19 this year and 28-16 on the road. Baltimore has an overall series record of 20-6-3 this year, and they have won three straight series.
When the Orioles win, they do so by an average of 3.8 runs per game, which is why they have a 51-41 run line record. They have been a good bet on the run line when they are the underdog, going 13-4, and have been a good bet on the run line on the road, going 27-17. They are currently on a five-game run line losing streak at home.
The Baltimore Orioles are at home today against the Chicago Cubs. The combined run average in Orioles games this season is 9.1 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 47-35. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs. When the line is set at 8.5 runs, the Orioles’ over/under record is 15-11. So far this season, 25.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Right-hander Albert Suárez gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces off against the Cubs at home. So far this season, he has made 11 starts and 18 total appearances. Suárez has a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.48. In his 65 1/3 innings of work, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 7.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Suárez’s WHIP for the season is 1.21. His most recent outing came on July 5th, where he gave up two earned runs in six innings of work and picked up the win. Before that, he had lost two straight starts.
As a team, the Orioles are the top-scoring team in the league at 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Baltimore also leads the league in home runs and has the top slugging percentage and OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .255, which is the 5th best mark in the league.
Gunnar Henderson has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/34 in his last eight games, including one home run. For the season, he is batting .292 and leads the team with 61 RBIs. Henderson also has the team’s longest current hitting streak at six games. Anthony Santander is 2nd on the team with 23 homers but is batting just .233 for the season.