Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Betting Pick & Prediction 11/28/24

The Lions are favored by -590 on the money line as they host the Bears at 12:30 ET on Thanksgiving Day. This week 13 NFC North matchup is being televised on CBS, with the Lions at -10.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is sitting at 48.5 points.

CHICAGO BEARS VS DETROIT LIONS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Detroit Lions -10.5

This game will be played at Ford Field at 12:30 ET on Thursday, November 28th.

WHY BET THE DETROIT LIONS:

• We have the Lions winning this one by a score of 33 to 20
• Not only do we have the Lions winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at -10.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 48.5 points

Will The Bears Pull Off An Upset As Road Underdogs

Chicago’s losing streak now stands at five games following their 30-27 loss to the Vikings in week 12. This leaves the Bears with a 4-7 record, placing them 4th in the NFC North. They have a +0.4 scoring margin this season and are 6-4-1 against the spread. After the loss to Minnesota, our power rankings have Chicago 24th in the NFL.

Heading into week 13, the Bears have just a 0.3% chance of making the playoffs. They are 0-4 on the road this season and will be in Detroit to take on the Lions this week.

Heading into week 13, the Bears sit 23rd in our offensive power rankings. They are 21st in the NFL in scoring, averaging 20.1 points per game, and rank 26th in total yards with 298.9 per game. Chicago ranks 29th in passing yards (187.1 per game) despite being 12th in pass attempts. On the ground, they are 15th in rushing attempts and 22nd in rushing yards, averaging 111.8 per game. The Bears have struggled on 3rd down, converting only 32.3% of their chances, which ranks 29th in the league. However, they have been efficient in the red zone, converting 42.3% of their opportunities, which ranks 7th in the NFL.

Caleb Williams threw for 340 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 12 against the Vikings, completing 32 of 47 passes without an interception. He also rushed for 33 yards on 6 carries. DJ Moore led the team with 7 catches for 106 yards and a touchdown. The Bears scored 17 points in the 4th quarter and converted all 3 of their red zone opportunities.

In their 30-27 overtime loss to the Vikings, the Bears’ defense allowed 452 total yards. They gave up 328 yards through the air on 23 completions, including two passing touchdowns. Minnesota also found success on the ground, rushing for 124 yards on 27 attempts.

Chicago’s defense struggled on third downs, allowing the Vikings to convert 46.2% of their third down attempts. However, the Bears did manage to record three sacks and had a +5 advantage in quarterback hits.

Are The Lions Going To Defend Home Field Advantage?

Heading into week 13, the Lions sit atop our NFL power rankings and have a 9-game winning streak, putting their record at 10-1. After a narrow 3-point win over the Texans in week 10, Detroit bounced back with two comfortable victories, beating the Jaguars 52-6 in week 11 and the Colts 24-6 in week 12. They covered the spread in both games, including a 46-point win over Jacksonville as 14-point favorites.

According to our projections, the Lions have a 100% chance of making the playoffs and an 84.4% chance of winning the NFC North. They are 9-2 against the spread this season, with an average scoring margin of +16.1 points per game. Their O/U record is 5-5-1, with their games averaging 49.4 points.

Jared Goff has rebounded nicely after a 5-interception game in week 10, throwing for 269 yards on 26/36 passing in week 12, following his 412-yard, 4-touchdown performance in week 11. Detroit has also been strong on 3rd down, converting 9/15 in week 12 and 60% in week 11. Heading into week 13, the Lions rank 4th in the NFL in 3rd-down conversions, with a rate of 46.8%.

Detroit’s offense is 2nd in our power rankings, leading the NFL with 32.7 points per game. They are 2nd in total yards per game (394.3) and 6th in passing yards, despite ranking 27th in pass attempts. The Lions are 4th in rushing yards, averaging 150.8 per game.

Indianapolis managed just 11 completions on 28 attempts for 172 yards through the air against the Lions in their most recent game. Detroit’s defense was tough to move the ball on, holding the Colts to just 6 points in a 24-6 win. The Lions defended the run well, allowing only 96 yards on 21 attempts. They also limited the Colts to a 25% conversion rate on third down.

Despite not recording any sacks, the Lions’ defense was disruptive in the backfield, winning the tackles for loss battle. They also held the Colts to a 39.3% completion percentage and didn’t allow any passing touchdowns.