Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 3/23/25
At 6:00 ET, the Miami Heat (-168) will host the Charlotte Hornets (+143) in a Southeast Division matchup. The Heat are favored by 4 points and the over/under line is 212.
Miami has dropped 10 straight games and is currently 10th in the Eastern Conference. Charlotte is 14th in the East and has a record of 18-52.
CHARLOTTE HORNETS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -4
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 6:00 ET on Sunday, March 23rd.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 129-112 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 23 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.8% and knocking down 16 threes.
Will the Hornets Exceed Expectations on the Road?
The Hornets fell to 18-52 on the season after a 141-106 road loss to the Thunder on Friday. Charlotte entered the game as +20.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total score of 247 points exceeded the O/U line of 220 by 27 points.
Charlotte got off to a rough start, allowing a 14-0 run early in the game. While they outscored the Thunder 35-32 in the 2nd quarter, they couldn’t close the gap, as Oklahoma City pulled away in the 3rd and 4th quarters, outscoring the Hornets 75-57 over the final two periods.
In their 141-106 loss to the Thunder, the Hornets connected on 19 threes, shooting 46.3% from deep. Overall, they shot 46.2% from the field.
Miles Bridges led Charlotte with 20 points, while Nick Smith added 14. Josh Green and Moussa Diabaté each contributed 12 points.
The Hornets struggled defensively against the Thunder, allowing 141 points on 57% shooting. Charlotte gave up at least 32 points in each quarter, including 38 in the 4th.
From beyond the arc, the Thunder hit 21 threes at a 53% clip. The Hornets sent Oklahoma City to the line 17 times, where they made 12 free throws.
Can the Heat Offense Score Enough at Home?
The Heat dropped to 29-41 on the season after a 102-98 home loss to the Rockets on Friday. Miami entered the game as +4.5 underdogs and managed to cover the spread, but the combined score of 200 points fell short of the 212.5-point total.
Miami led 59-51 at halftime but were outscored 27-21 in the 3rd quarter. Despite holding an 80-78 lead going into the 4th, the Heat were outscored 24-18 in the final period.
Andrew Wiggins led the Heat with 30 points, 20 of which came in the 2nd quarter, in their 98-point effort against the Rockets. Wiggins shot 76.9% from the field, and Kel’el Ware added 16 points and 14 rebounds, shooting 70%.
Miami hit 10 threes at a 41.7% clip, with an overall field goal percentage of 52.1%. Bam Adebayo and Ware each made 2 threes, with Adebayo adding 7 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters.
Defensively, the Heat held the Rockets to 102 points, allowing 23 points in the 1st quarter and 24 in the 4th. Houston shot 46% from the field against Miami.
The Heat gave up 14 threes on 50% shooting but limited the Rockets to 21 free-throw attempts. Miami recorded 8 steals and 5 blocks.