Charlotte Hornets vs Miami Heat Betting Pick & Prediction 3/10/25
At 7:30 ET, the Miami Heat (-437) will host the Charlotte Hornets (+335) in a Southeast Division matchup. The Heat are currently 9.5-point favorites and have dropped three straight games. The over/under line for this game is 216.5.
This game will take place at the Kaseya Center in Miami and can be seen on FDSS. The Hornets are 14th in the Eastern Conference with a 15-48 record, while the Heat are 9th in the East at 29-34.
CHARLOTTE HORNETS VS MIAMI HEAT BETTING PICK
The Pick: Miami Heat -9.5
This game will be played at Kaseya Center at 7:30 ET on Monday, March 10th.
WHY BET THE MIAMI HEAT:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 131-117 in favor of the Heat.
- Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with 24 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists.
- From the field, we have the Heat finishing with a field goal percentage of 44.9% and knocking down 16 threes.
Is a Road Win Possible for the Hornets?
The Hornets improved to 15-48 on the season with a 105-102 win over the Nets on Saturday. Charlotte, who were +5.5 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The combined score of 207 points fell short of the 211.5-point over/under line.
Charlotte rallied after an 11-0 run by the Nets, who led 50-46 at one point. The Hornets were down 82-76 going into the 4th quarter but outscored Brooklyn 29-20 in the final period to secure the win.
In their win over the Nets, the Hornets shot 40.8% from the field and hit 11 threes at a 32.4% clip. Miles Bridges led the way with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 assists, while Nick Smith added 19 points, connecting on 3 threes.
Moussa Diabaté contributed 16 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 66.7% from the floor. Bridges scored 8 points in the 4th quarter, and Smith added 12 of his 19 in the 3rd.
Despite giving up 58 points in the first half, the Hornets tightened up defensively in the 3rd and 4th quarters, allowing just 44 points to secure the win. Charlotte gave up 102 points on 46% shooting from the field.
The Hornets did a good job defending the three-point line, holding the Nets to 28% shooting with 14 made threes. Brooklyn also went to the free-throw line 15 times, making 12. Charlotte finished with 4 steals and 2 blocks.
Will the Heat Pull Through as the Favored Home Team?
Miami’s season record dropped to 29-34 after a 114-109 home loss to the Bulls on Saturday. The Heat were favored by 5.5 points but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 223 fell just short of the 225.5 O/U line.
Miami started strong, going on a 10-0 run early and leading 36-24 after the 1st quarter. However, they were outscored 24-19 in the 2nd quarter. Despite a 34-30 edge in the 3rd, the Heat couldn’t hold on, as the Bulls dominated the 4th quarter, outscoring Miami 36-20 to complete the comeback.
In their 114-109 loss to the Bulls, the Heat shot 42.3% from the field and 30.2% from three-point range, hitting 13 threes. Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins each scored 22 points, with Wiggins hitting 3 threes at 60% efficiency.
Tyler Herro added 21 points, contributing 11 in the 3rd quarter. Wiggins scored 9 in the 1st and added 7 more in the 4th, while Adebayo put up 10 in the opening period.
Defensively, the Heat were solid in the 1st and 2nd quarters, giving up just 24 points in each. However, they struggled in the 4th, allowing 36 points, which contributed to their 114-109 loss to the Bulls. Miami held Chicago to 45% shooting from the field.
The Heat did well defending the three, as the Bulls made only 11 threes on 26% shooting. Miami also controlled the boards, giving up just 5 offensive rebounds while collecting 37 defensive rebounds. They added 7 steals and 5 blocks.