Cal Poly Mustangs vs Weber State Wildcats Betting Pick & Prediction 12/9/23

The Mustangs and Wildcats are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Wildcats will host the game at Dee Events Center in Ogden, UT. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 126.5 points, and the Wildcats are favored to win at home vs. the Mustangs.

CAL POLY MUSTANGS VS WEBER STATE WILDCATS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +14.5

This game will be played at Dee Events Center at 9:00 ET on Saturday, December 9th.

WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-68 in favor of the Wildcats.
• Even though we have Weber State winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +14.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 126.5 points, and we like the over with a projected 143 points.

Will the Mustangs Win in Ogden?

Cal Poly is heading into their 10th game of the season with an overall record of 3-6. Looking back at their previous ten road games, which includes last year, Cal Poly has a 2-8 record. Cal Poly has a winning record against the spread, currently standing at 5-3. In their last five games, they are 3-2 vs. the spread.

So far, Cal Poly’s games have averaged 142.6 points per game with the average over/under line being 133.8 points. The Mustangs have an over/under record of 3-0 in their last three games, with their games averaging 148 points per game.

In their most recent game, the Mustangs’ offense tallied 70 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 68 points per game. The top scorer for the Mustangs was Kobe Sanders with 20 points, while Paul Bizimana also added 12 to the scoreboard.

So far, the Mustangs’ defense is ranked 194th in the country at 75.1 points per contest. Against Idaho in their most recent game, the Cal Poly defense gave up a total of 85 points while allowing Idaho to hit 49% of their shots.

Can Weber State Grab a Win at Home?

Weber State comes into today’s game against Cal Poly with a season record of 4-3. In their last ten home games, including those from last year, Weber State has a record of 7-3. Weber State has a sub-.500 ATS record thus far, sitting at 2-3. In their previous five games, they are 1-3 vs. the spread.

After seven games, Weber State has an over/under record of 1-4-0, with their games averaging a combined 123.4 points per game so far. When analyzing the Wildcats’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 129 points per game and an over/under record of 1-3.

Against Colgate, the Weber State had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 72.7 points per game. They scored 55 points and posted a field goal percentage of 36.2% in the game. The team’s scoring leader is Dillon Jones, who holds an average of 20.5 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Steven Verplancken is averaging 12.3 points per game this season.

In the current season, the Weber State defense has excelled, sitting 6th in the nation by allowing 58.0 points per game. In their most recent game, the Weber State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Colgate knocked down 9 three-pointers on their way to 57 points.