Cal Poly Mustangs vs UC Davis Aggies NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 12/5/24

Betting on today’s Mustangs and Aggies game? Catch the action at University Credit Union Center in Davis, CA, as the Aggies hosts this showdown at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The odds for this Big West conference game currently have UC Davis as the -2.5 point favorite with the over/under line sitting at 158.5 points.

CAL POLY MUSTANGS VS UC DAVIS AGGIES BETTING PICK

The Pick: UC Davis Aggies -2.5

This game will be played at University Credit Union Center at 9:00 ET on Thursday, December 5th.

WHY BET THE UC DAVIS AGGIES:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-69 in favor of the Aggies.
• Not only will UC Davis pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -2.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 158.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Will Cal Poly Make it Happen on the Road?

Cal Poly Mustangs Recent Game/Games

Cal Poly improved to 4-4 on the season with a 97-90 road win over Stanford on Saturday. The Mustangs entered the game as +15.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

Cal Poly was down 43-34 at halftime but turned things around in the second half, scoring 63 points while allowing 47. The game’s total of 187 points exceeded the over/under line of 155.

Cal Poly’s offense was firing on all cylinders, putting up 97 points with a 54.1% shooting performance from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 63.9%, thanks in part to hitting 67.7% of their two-point attempts and 40% from beyond the arc. They also connected on 86.4% of their free throws, going 19-for-22 from the line.

Owen Koonce led the way with 30 points, shooting 75% overall and 60% from three-point range. Isaac Jessup and Maxime Raynaud each added 21 points, with Jessup hitting 5-of-8 from deep. Jaylen Blakes contributed 17 points and dished out 8 assists, while Benny Gealer also scored 17 points.

Cal Poly’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 90 points on 46% shooting. The Mustangs allowed their opponent to hit 21 of 34 shots from inside the arc, a 61% success rate.

From three-point range, Cal Poly’s opponent made 10 of 33 attempts, shooting 30%. The Mustangs also sent them to the line 22 times, where they converted 18 free throws (81%).

Does UC Davis Have What it Takes to Win as Home Favorites?

UC Davis Aggies Recent Game/Games

The Aggies fell to 2-4 on the season after a 90-57 road loss to Oregon State on Saturday, November 30th. Entering the game as +11 point underdogs, UC Davis not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.

After trailing 44-31 at halftime, the Aggies struggled in the 2nd half, scoring just 26 points while allowing 46. The total points for the game reached 147, surpassing the O/U line of 140.

UC Davis struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 35.8% from the field and 31.2% on two-point attempts. They hit 42.9% from beyond the arc, going 9-for-21 from three-point range, and finished with 57 points.

Parsa Fallah led the way with 25 points on 11-of-14 shooting, while Michael Rataj added 21 points and 11 rebounds, hitting 3-of-4 from deep. The Aggies also shot 58.8% from the free-throw line and grabbed 6 offensive rebounds, finishing with 11 assists as a team.

UC Davis struggled defensively, giving up 90 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 60% from the field. Inside the arc, they conceded 21 of 34 shots, a 61% success rate for the opposition.

From three-point range, UC Davis allowed 8 threes on 14 attempts, with their opponent shooting 57%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 25 times, where they converted 24, a 96% clip.