Cal Poly Mustangs vs Stanford Cardinal NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/30/24

Planning on watching today’s Mustangs and Cardinal game? Catch the action at Maples Pavilion in Stanford, CA, as the Cardinal hosts this showdown at 10:00 ET on ACC. The over/under for this game is set at 152.5 points, and Stanford is favored by -14.5 against Cal Poly in a non-conference matchup.

CAL POLY MUSTANGS VS STANFORD CARDINAL BETTING PICK

The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +14.5

This game will be played at Maples Pavilion at 10:00 ET on Saturday, November 30th.

WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-72 in favor of the Cardinal.
  • Even though we have Stanford winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +14.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.

Can the Mustangs Lock in a Road Win?

Cal Poly Mustangs Recent Game/Games

Cal Poly edged out Grambling State 82-79 on Tuesday, November 26th, in a home game. The Mustangs were -5.5 favorites going into the game but didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 161, surpassing the over/under line of 150.5.

Cal Poly led 44-33 at halftime but allowed Grambling State to score 46 points in the 2nd half while scoring 38 themselves. Despite the win, the Mustangs will likely focus on tightening up their defense moving forward.

Cal Poly put up 82 points in their last game, shooting 50.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 57.1%. They connected on 40.9% of their threes, going 9-for-22, and hit 75% of their free throws, finishing 9-for-12 from the line.

Chilaydrien Newton and Ernest Ross were both 6-for-8 from the field, with Newton hitting 5-of-6 threes and Ross going 2-for-2 from deep. Antwan Burnett led the team with 21 points, shooting 3-for-6 from beyond the arc, while Isaac Jessup and Owen Koonce each added 17 points, with Jessup hitting 5 threes at a 50% clip.

Cal Poly’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 79 points on 50% shooting from the field. The Mustangs allowed their opponent to connect on 56% of their two-point attempts, with 23 makes on 41 tries.

From beyond the arc, Cal Poly’s defense conceded 9 threes on 22 attempts, a 40% shooting clip. They also sent their opponent to the line 12 times, where they hit 9 free throws, good for 75%. The Mustangs gave up 7 offensive rebounds.

Can the Cardinal Please their Home Crowd?

Stanford dropped to 2-4 on the season following a 78-71 home loss to Grand Canyon on Tuesday. The Cardinal were slight favorites at -1 but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 149, exceeding the O/U line of 144.

Stanford led 33-32 at halftime but allowed 46 points in the 2nd half, while scoring 38 points themselves. Defensive lapses in the 2nd half were a key factor in the loss.

Stanford’s offense struggled from the field in their last game, shooting just 38.1% overall and 18.2% from three-point range, hitting only 4 of 22 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 41.3%, but they did manage to connect on 79.2% of their free throws, going 19 for 24 from the line.

Maxime Raynaud led the Cardinal with 29 points and 11 rebounds, shooting 57.1% from the field despite hitting just 1 of 6 from beyond the arc. Jaylen Blakes added 22 points and 5 assists, while Duke Brennan contributed 14 points on 6 of 9 shooting.

Stanford’s defense gave up 78 points in their last game, even though they held their opponent to just 38% shooting from the field. The Cardinal allowed 48% shooting on two-point attempts, with their opponent making 20 of 41 shots inside the arc.

From three-point range, Stanford’s defense was strong, limiting their opponent to 18% shooting, with just 4 made threes on 22 attempts. However, they sent the other team to the free-throw line 24 times, where they converted 19 free throws for 79%. Stanford also gave up 12 offensive rebounds.