Cal Poly Mustangs vs Saint Mary’s Gaels NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/23/24
Planning on watching today’s Mustangs and Gaels game? Catch the action at University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA, as the Gaels hosts this showdown at 8:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under line for this matchup is currently at 148.5 points, and Saint Mary’s is favored by -19.5 at home against Cal Poly.
CAL POLY MUSTANGS VS SAINT MARY’S GAELS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Cal Poly Mustangs +19.5
This game will be played at University Credit Union Pavilion at 8:00 ET on Saturday, November 23rd.
WHY BET THE CAL POLY MUSTANGS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-73 in favor of the Gaels.
- Even though we have Saint Mary’s winning straight-up, we like Cal Poly at +19.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.
Do the Mustangs Stand a Chance in Moraga?
Cal Poly Mustangs Recent Game/Games
The Mustangs put up a strong fight against Arizona State on Wednesday, losing 93-89 on the road. Despite being +16.5 point underdogs, Cal Poly kept the game much closer than expected.
Cal Poly trailed 46-38 at halftime but came out strong in the 2nd half, scoring 51 points while allowing 47. The total points for the game hit 182, going over the 154.5 O/U line.
Cal Poly’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 89 points with a field goal percentage of 51.6%. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 62.5%, thanks in part to their 74.1% shooting on two-point attempts. From beyond the arc, they hit 13 of 37 threes, good for 35.1%.
Jarred Hyder led the way with 27 points, connecting on 7 of 14 threes, while Joson Sanon added 22 points. Isaac Jessup contributed 17 points, hitting 4 of 7 from deep, and Adam Miller knocked down 4 of 5 threes, finishing with 16 points. The Mustangs dished out 18 assists, with Alston Mason and BJ Freeman each recording 5.
Cal Poly’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 93 points while allowing the opponent to shoot 48% from the field. The Mustangs allowed 18 two-point field goals on 34 attempts, a 52% conversion rate.
From beyond the arc, Cal Poly’s opponents hit 10 threes on 24 attempts, shooting 41%. The Mustangs also sent them to the free-throw line 41 times, where they made 27 free throws, a 65% success rate. Cal Poly gave up 13 offensive rebounds.
Are the Gaels Ready for a Home Win?
Saint Mary’s Gaels Recent Game/Games
Saint Mary’s picked up a 77-74 win over Nebraska on Sunday, November 17th. The Gaels were -4 favorites going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 151, surpassing the O/U line of 139.5.
Saint Mary’s led 46-43 at halftime and both teams scored 31 points in the 2nd half, resulting in a tight finish.
Saint Mary’s put up 77 points in their latest game, shooting 42.6% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 52.5%, thanks in part to hitting 47.8% from beyond the arc, connecting on 11 of 23 attempts. They struggled inside, making just 39.5% of their two-point shots, and shot 56% from the free-throw line.
Brice Williams led the Gaels with 28 points, shooting 66.7% from the field. Mikey Lewis added 23 points, hitting 5 of 7 from three-point range. Saint Mary’s grabbed 17 offensive rebounds and dished out 14 assists in the win.
Saint Mary’s Gaels gave up 74 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 44% from the field, hitting 22 of their 49 attempts. Inside the arc, the Gaels allowed 53% shooting, as the other team went 17/32 on two-point shots.
From three-point range, Saint Mary’s held their opponent to 29% shooting, with just 5 made threes on 17 attempts. However, they sent the other team to the free-throw line 29 times, where they converted 25 for 86%. The Gaels also gave up 13 offensive rebounds.