Buffalo Bulls vs Toledo Rockets NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 2/4/25

Don’t miss out on the NCAA showdown between the Bulls and Rockets. The game is starting at 7:00 ET on ESPN+, and it’s hosted by the Rockets at Savage Arena in Toledo, OH. Get ready to place your bets! This Mid-American conference matchup has an over/under of 162 points, and Toledo is favored to win by -13.5 at home vs. Buffalo.

BUFFALO BULLS VS TOLEDO ROCKETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Buffalo Bulls +13.5

This game will be played at Savage Arena at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, February 4th.

WHY BET THE BUFFALO BULLS:

  • We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-71 in favor of the Rockets.
  • Even though we have Toledo winning straight-up, we like Buffalo at +13.5.
  • The over/under is currently sitting at 162 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.

Will the Bulls Defense Show Up on the Road?

Buffalo Bulls Recent Game/Games

The Bulls dropped to 5-14 on the season after an 89-76 home loss to Ball State on Saturday. Buffalo entered the game as +2.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The combined points for the game reached 165, surpassing the O/U line of 153.5.

Buffalo fell behind early, trailing 45-32 at halftime. They scored 44 points in the 2nd half but couldn’t close the gap, as they also allowed 44 points to Ball State after the break.

Buffalo’s offense put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 38.5% from the field. They struggled from deep, hitting just 20.5% of their 39 three-point attempts, but were strong inside, connecting on 65.4% of their two-point shots.

At the free-throw line, the Bulls were nearly perfect, making 18 of 19 attempts (94.7%). Payton Sparks led the way with 27 points and 14 rebounds, while Mickey Pearson Jr. added 19 points, hitting 3 of 4 from beyond the arc.

Despite Buffalo’s defensive efforts, they gave up 89 points in their last game. The Bulls allowed their opponent to shoot 38% from the field, with 25 made baskets on 65 attempts.

Buffalo’s defense struggled to contain two-point shots, as their opponent hit 17 of 26 attempts for 65%. From beyond the arc, Buffalo allowed 8 threes on 39 attempts, a 20% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 18 for a 94% free-throw percentage. Buffalo gave up 13 offensive rebounds in the game.

Is It the Rockets Game to Lose at Home?

Toledo Rockets Recent Game/Games

Toledo improved to 12-8 on the season with an 89-85 win over Northern Illinois on Saturday. The Rockets were -14 favorites at home but didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 174 exceeded the pre-game O/U line of 154.5.

Toledo led 50-35 at halftime but allowed 50 points in the 2nd half while scoring 39. Despite the win, the Rockets will need to tighten up defensively moving forward.

Toledo’s offense put up 89 points in their last game, shooting 40% from the field and 30.8% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 43.1%, and they hit 33 of 38 free throws, good for 86.8%.

Sam Lewis led the way with 23 points, hitting 3 of 6 from deep, while Nasir Muhammad added 21 points, connecting on 6 of 8 three-point attempts. The Rockets grabbed 14 offensive rebounds and dished out 14 assists in the win.

Despite Toledo’s defensive efforts, they gave up 85 points in their last game. The Rockets allowed their opponent to shoot 40% from the field, with 22 of those baskets coming from two-point range, where they shot 42%.

From beyond the arc, Toledo’s defense held their opponent to just 4 threes on 13 attempts, a 30% shooting performance. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 38 times, where they converted 33 of those attempts, shooting 86%.