Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Betting Pick & Prediction 10/14/24

The Bills and Jets will face off at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, NJ on Monday, October 14th at 8:15 ET. The Bills are favored on the road in this AFC East matchup, with their money line at -144 compared to the Jets’ +121. Buffalo is favored by -2.5 points, and the over/under line is set at 41 points. This game is being televised on ESPN.

BUFFALO BILLS VS NEW YORK JETS BETTING PICK

The Pick: New York Jets +2.5

This game will be played at MetLife Stadium at 8:15 ET on Monday, October 14th.

WHY BET THE NEW YORK JETS:

• We have the Jets winning this one by a score of 25 to 21
• Not only do we have the Jets winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +2.5
• Look for this game to go over the line of 41 points

Will The Bills Pick Up A Win On The Road?

Despite two straight losses, the Bills remain atop the AFC East with a 3-2 record. After a dominant 37-point win over the Jaguars in week 3, Buffalo has dropped two in a row, including a 23-20 loss to the Texans in week 5. The Bills were 1.5-point underdogs in that game but couldn’t pull off the win. They also lost to the Ravens in week 4, leaving them 1-2 on the road this season.

Heading into week 6, our projections give the Bills a 71.2% chance of winning the division and an 88.4% chance of making the playoffs. They rank 5th in our NFL power rankings. Buffalo has an average scoring margin of +7.2 points per game and is 2-3 against the spread this season. Their O/U record is also 2-3, with the under hitting in their last two games.

Buffalo’s offense has struggled on third down, converting just 32.1% of their attempts, ranking 22nd in the NFL. Despite being 4th in red zone attempts, they have struggled to capitalize, with a red zone conversion rate of only 16.7%, placing them 25th in the league. Heading into week 6, the Bills are 20th in the NFL in passing yards per game (181.6) and 23rd in passing attempts per game. They are 14th in rushing, averaging 118.2 yards per game.

Josh Allen had a rough outing in week 5, completing just 9 of 30 passes for 131 yards, though he did throw a touchdown and avoided interceptions. James Cook led the team in rushing with 82 yards on 20 carries, while Keon Coleman had a 49-yard reception for a touchdown. Buffalo scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter against the Texans, but only managed 3 points in the 4th quarter.

In their 23-20 loss to the Texans, the Buffalo Bills’ defense allowed 331 passing yards and 73.7% completions. Houston’s offense put up 425 yards, with Buffalo struggling to defend the pass, giving up 8.7 yards per attempt. The Bills did force one interception and managed one sack, but the Texans were still able to move the ball effectively.

On the ground, the Bills did a better job, limiting the Texans to 94 yards on 28 attempts (3.4 yards per attempt). However, Buffalo’s defense couldn’t get off the field consistently, as Houston converted on 50% of their third down attempts.

Will The Jets Win At Home Over The Bills?

The Jets have dropped two straight, including a 23-17 loss to the Vikings in week 5, bringing their record to 2-3. After a week 3 win over the Patriots, New York couldn’t capitalize on being at home in week 4, losing 10-9 to the Broncos despite being 8-point favorites. In that game, the O/U line was 39.5, and the teams combined for just 19 points. The Jets’ O/U record is 1-3-1, with the under hitting in three consecutive games.

Heading into week 6, our power rankings have the Jets 13th, and they have a 57.7% chance of making the playoffs. Against the spread, they are 2-3, with both wins coming as the favorite. They are 0-2 as underdogs, including their week 5 loss to the Vikings, when they couldn’t cover the 2.5-point spread.

Heading into week 6, the Jets rank 25th in our offensive power rankings. They are 23rd in the NFL in points per game (18.6) and 25th in yards per game (286.6). New York has been pass-heavy, ranking 3rd in pass attempts, but they are 18th in passing yards per game with 206.2. On the ground, they rank last in the league in rushing yards per game, averaging 80.4 on 22.6 attempts per game.

Aaron Rodgers threw for 244 yards and 2 touchdowns in week 5 but also had 3 interceptions, finishing with a passer rating of 54. Garrett Wilson led the team with 13 catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. Breece Hall had 9 carries for 23 yards in the loss to the Vikings.

The Jets’ defense played well on third downs, allowing the Vikings to convert just 30.8% of their chances. They also came up with four sacks and held the Vikings to 82 yards rushing on 30 attempts. Despite this, the Jets still fell 23-17 to the Vikings.

Against the pass, the Jets allowed just 171 yards and no touchdowns. They also picked off one pass and limited the Vikings to a 46.9% completion rate. However, the Jets offense struggled, putting up just 253 yards in the game.