Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins Betting Pick & Prediction 9/12/24
The Dolphins are favored at -127 on the money line as they host the Bills at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, FL. This AFC East matchup is set for 8:15 ET on Thursday, September 12th, with AMZN handling the broadcast. The Bills are +106 on the money line and +1.5 on the point spread. The over/under line is at 48.5 points.
BUFFALO BILLS VS MIAMI DOLPHINS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Buffalo Bills +1.5
This game will be played at Hard Rock Stadium at 8:15 ET on Thursday, September 12th.
WHY BET THE BUFFALO BILLS:
- We have the Bills winning this one by a score of 24 to 17
- Not only do we have the Bills winning straight-up, we have them covering the spread at +1.5
- We see this game finishing below the line of 48.5 points
Will The Bills Pick Up A Win On The Road?
Buffalo’s 34-28 win over the Cardinals was capped off by a 39-yard field goal from Tyler Bass, helping them improve to 1-0 on the season. The Bills didn’t cover the spread, as they were favored by -6.5 at home. The combined 62 points easily surpassed the over/under line of 45.5 points.
After falling behind 7-0 in the 1st quarter, the Bills tied the game with a field goal in the 2nd. Josh Allen’s touchdown run and a late 2nd quarter score put Buffalo up 10-7. In the 3rd quarter, Allen found Mack Hollins for a touchdown and later connected with Khalil Shakir to take a 24-17 lead heading into the 4th. Allen added another touchdown run in the 4th quarter to help secure the victory.
Josh Allen had a big game for the Buffalo Bills in their 34-28 win over the Cardinals, completing 78% of his passes for 232 yards and two touchdowns. He also ran for 39 yards and two touchdowns. The Bills had 23 first downs and 222 passing yards, with Keon Coleman leading the team with 51 receiving yards.
Buffalo’s running game saw James Cook rush for 71 yards, leading the team in rushing. The Bills ran for 130 yards as a team, averaging 3.9 yards per attempt. Allen was sacked twice and had a passer rating of 137 in the win.
The Bills’ defense came up with four sacks and limited the Cardinals to just 146 passing yards in their 34-28 win over Arizona. Buffalo’s run defense gave up 124 yards on 25 attempts, with the Bills’ secondary allowing just 4.7 yards per attempt. Arizona did find some success on the ground, averaging 5.0 yards per attempt.
Will The Dolphins Win At Home Over The Bills?
Despite falling behind early, the Dolphins picked up a 20-17 win over the Jaguars in their most recent game. Jacksonville took a 7-0 lead after the first quarter, but Miami fought back to tie the game at 17 in the 4th quarter. The Dolphins capped off their comeback with a late field goal to secure the win. Miami’s record now stands at 1-0.
Heading into the game, the Dolphins were 3.5-point favorites, with an over/under line set at 49.5 points. The Jaguars added to their lead with another touchdown in the 2nd quarter, but Miami responded with a touchdown just before halftime, and another touchdown in the 3rd quarter, as Tua Tagovailoa connected with Tyreek Hill for an 80-yard score. Miami ended the game with a combined 37 points, which was below the over/under line.
Despite being sacked three times, Tua Tagovailoa threw for 338 yards in the Dolphins’ 20-17 win over the Jaguars. Miami’s offense finished with 18 first downs and 319 passing yards on 37 attempts. Tagovailoa completed 23 of 37 passes (62%) and threw one touchdown.
On the ground, the Dolphins struggled, managing just 81 yards on 25 attempts. Tyreek Hill led the receiving corps with 130 yards and a touchdown, including an 80-yard reception. Jeff Wilson Jr. was the top rusher with 26 yards.
Despite allowing 128 rushing yards on 26 attempts, the Dolphins’ defense played well in their 20-17 win over the Jaguars, holding Jacksonville to just 139 yards passing. The Jaguars completed only 12 passes and managed just 6.6 yards per attempt through the air. Miami’s defense was tough on third down, allowing only a 20% conversion rate, and they also recorded three sacks in the game.