Bowling Green Falcons vs Western Michigan Broncos Betting Pick & Prediction 3/5/24
Looking to win big? The Falcons and Broncos face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The Broncos are hosting the game at University Arena (MI) in Kalamazoo, MI. In this Mid-American matchup, Bowling Green is favored by -1.5 vs. Western Michigan. The over/under for the game is 145 points.
BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Western Michigan Broncos +1.5
This game will be played at University Arena (MI) at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, March 5th.
WHY BET THE WESTERN MICHIGAN BRONCOS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 75-69 in favor of the Broncos.
- Not only will Western Michigan pick up the win, but look for them to cover at +1.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 145 points, and we like the under with a projected 144 points.
Do the Falcons Have a Shot at a Win at Kalamazoo?
Coming into this game, Bowling Green has lost two straight games, and they are 17-12 overall. In Mid-American Conference play, they are 8-7, and they have gone 9-5 in non-conference games. On the road, the Falcons are 4-6 this season, and they have gone 10-5 when favored.
So far, Bowling Green has played 29 games, and they are averaging -6.6 points per game on the road. Their record in their last 10 road games is 4-6, and they have gone 1-4 in their last five road games.
When looking at Bowling Green’s ATS record this season, they are currently 12-14. In games where they have been the favorite, their record vs. the spread is 6-9. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Falcons have gone just 3-7 ATS.
Bowling Green’s over/under record for the season is 15-11 and today’s line of 145 is lower than the average OU line in their games (147.9). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 130 points and their OU record in that span is 0-3.
Most recently, the Bowling Green offense finished with just 59 points vs. Ohio. For the game, they hit 3/11 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 41.3%. Leading Bowling Green in scoring vs. Ohio was Rashaun Agee with his 17 points. Trey Thomas also added 15 points for the Falcons.
At this time, the Falcons’ defense is positioned 151st in the country, permitting 71.5 points per game. In their previous game vs. Ohio, the Bobcats finished with a field goal percentage of 42% and a total of 66 points vs. Bowling Green.
Will Western Michigan Come Through as Home Underdogs?
Western Michigan will look to snap a seven-game losing streak on the road, where they are 2-12 this season. At home, the Broncos are 7-6, and they have won two straight games.
So far this season, Western Michigan has been the underdog in 20 of their 29 games, going 6-14 in those contests. Their record in the Mid-American Conference is 7-8, compared to 4-10 in non-conference games.
As the underdog, Western Michigan has a solid ATS record of 12-8 this season. Their ATS mark at home is 8-5 and they have gone 6-3 vs. the spread in their last 10 home games. Over their last three games at home, the Broncos are 2-1 vs. the spread.
Western Michigan’s over/under record for the season sits at 12-15 and today’s line of 145 is slightly higher than the average over/under line in their games (144.1). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 150 points and their over/under record during that stretch is 2-1.
Coming off their recent game, the Western Michigan offense tallied 67 points in a matchup against Eastern Michigan. Their field goal percentage for the game was 41.4%, and they made 13 threes. Offensively, the Broncos hold a season-long field goal percentage of 43%, placing them 290th in the national rankings. When it comes to three-pointers, they are ranked 194th in terms of percentage and 127th in three-pointers made.
At present, the Broncos’ defense is nationally ranked 230th, allowing 74.4 points per game. Against Eastern Michigan, the Broncos’ defense gave up 70 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, Eastern Michigan only made 7 free-throws.