Bowling Green Falcons vs Michigan State Spartans NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 11/16/24

Making on a bet on this NCAA game featuring the Falcons versus the Spartans? Tip off is at at 6:00 ET, and you can watch it all unfold on BTN. The game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing, MI. This non-conference matchup has an over/under of 148.5 points, and Michigan State is favored by -21.5 vs. Bowling Green.

BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS MICHIGAN STATE SPARTANS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons +21.5

This game will be played at Breslin Center at 6:00 ET on Saturday, November 16th.

WHY BET THE BOWLING GREEN FALCONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 77-70 in favor of the Spartans.
• Even though we have Michigan State winning straight-up, we like Bowling Green at +21.5.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 148.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 147 points.

Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Bowling Green?

Bowling Green Falcons Recent Game/Games

Bowling Green fell 91-85 to Davidson on Friday, November 8th, in their home opener. The Falcons entered the game as +5 point underdogs and didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points reached 176, surpassing the 146.5 O/U line.

Bowling Green struggled early, trailing 47-31 at halftime, but they rallied in the 2nd half, scoring 54 points while allowing 44. Despite the strong finish, they couldn’t complete the comeback.

Bowling Green put up 85 points in their last game, shooting 46.7% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 55%. They hit 10 of 22 threes, shooting 45.5% from beyond the arc, and went 19 of 25 from the free-throw line, good for 76%.

Javontae Campbell led the way with 30 points, shooting 10 of 13 from the field. Reed Bailey added 24 points, and Connor Kochera contributed 23 points, hitting 2 of 4 threes. Bobby Durkin knocked down 4 of 6 threes, finishing with 20 points, while Marcus Johnson hit 5 threes, shooting 50% from deep.

Despite Bowling Green’s defensive efforts, they allowed 91 points on 46% shooting from the field. The opposing team made 28 of their 60 field goal attempts.

From beyond the arc, Bowling Green’s defense gave up 10 threes on 22 attempts, a 45% success rate. They also sent the other team to the line 25 times, where they converted 19 free throws.

Do the Spartans Stand a Chance at Home?

Michigan State’s season opener didn’t go as planned, as they fell 77-69 to Kansas on Tuesday. The Spartans were +6 underdogs at home and didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 146 fell short of the 150.5 O/U line.

After trailing 30-24 at halftime, Michigan State put up 45 points in the 2nd half but allowed 47, unable to close the gap on the Jayhawks.

Michigan State’s offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 34.8% from the field and 12.5% from three-point range, hitting only 3 of 24 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 37.7%, but they did manage to connect on 85.7% of their free throws, going 18 for 21 from the line.

Hunter Dickinson led the way with 28 points and 12 rebounds, shooting 61.9% overall and hitting his only three-point attempt. Frankie Fidler added 15 points, despite shooting just 25% from the field and 16.7% from beyond the arc. Jaxon Kohler contributed 12 points and 10 rebounds, while Dajuan Harris Jr. dished out 6 assists.

Despite Michigan State’s strong defensive effort, holding their opponent to just 34% shooting from the field, the Spartans still gave up 77 points. They allowed 21 two-point field goals on 45 attempts, a 46% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Michigan State limited their opponent to just 3 made threes on 24 attempts, a 12% shooting performance. However, they sent them to the free-throw line 21 times, where they converted 18 free throws at an 85% rate.