Bowling Green Falcons vs Miami (OH) RedHawks NCAA Basketball Betting Pick & Prediction 1/21/25

Looking to win big? The Falcons and RedHawks face off at 7:00 ET on ESPN+. The RedHawks are hosting the game at Millett Hall in Oxford, OH. The over/under for this game is set at 152.5 points, and Miami (OH) is favored by -10.5 vs. Bowling Green in a Mid-American conference matchup.
BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS MIAMI (OH) REDHAWKS BETTING PICK
The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons +10.5
This game will be played at Millett Hall at 7:00 ET on Tuesday, January 21st.
WHY BET THE BOWLING GREEN FALCONS:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-70 in favor of the RedHawks.
- Even though we have Miami (OH) winning straight-up, we like Bowling Green at +10.5.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 152.5 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.
Is A Road Victory Likely for Underdog Bowling Green?
Bowling Green Falcons Recent Game/Games
The Falcons dropped to 5-10 on the season after a 68-62 home loss to Eastern Michigan on Saturday. Bowling Green entered the game as -6.5 point favorites but failed to cover the spread.
Trailing 29-26 at halftime, the Falcons scored 36 points in the second half but allowed 39. The combined points of 130 fell short of the 152.5 O/U line.
Bowling Green struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 34.5% from the field and 22.7% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 37.9%, and they managed only 4 assists as a team.
Marcus Johnson led the way with 18 points, hitting 3 of 5 from beyond the arc. Arne Osojnik also connected on 4 of 5 threes, finishing with 16 points and 11 rebounds.
Bowling Green’s defense held their opponent to 68 points on 34% shooting from the field. They limited two-point attempts to 41% (15/36).
From beyond the arc, Bowling Green allowed 5 threes on 22 attempts, a 22% shooting rate. Their opponent also shot 73% from the free-throw line, making 17 of 23 attempts, and grabbed 12 offensive rebounds.
Can the RedHawks Please their Home Crowd?
Miami (OH) RedHawks Recent Game/Games
Miami (OH) improved to 11-4 on the season with a 70-61 road win over Kent State on Saturday. The RedHawks entered the game as +5.5 point underdogs and not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.
After trailing 41-32 at halftime, Miami (OH) clamped down defensively, allowing just 20 points in the second half while scoring 38 of their own. The combined points for the game were 131, falling under the pre-game O/U line of 142.5.
In their last game, Miami (OH) shot 48.9% from the field, with an effective field goal percentage of 57.4%. They connected on 65.2% of their two-point attempts and hit 33.3% from beyond the arc, making 8 of 24 threes. At the free-throw line, the RedHawks were 16 of 20, shooting 80%.
Cian Medley and Brant Byers each scored 15 points, with Byers hitting 3 of 5 from deep. Eian Elmer added 14 points, shooting 66.7% overall, while Mekhi Cooper contributed 12 points, making 2 of 3 threes. Jalen Sullinger struggled from three, hitting just 1 of 8, but finished with 11 points.
Despite Miami (OH) shooting 61% from two-point range, the RedHawks held them to just 61 points by limiting their three-point shooting to 13% on 4/29 attempts. Miami (OH) also struggled from the free-throw line, converting only 11 of 18 attempts for 61%.
Defensively, the RedHawks gave up 9 offensive rebounds but managed to keep Miami (OH) in check overall, allowing them to shoot 38% from the field on 23/60 attempts.