Bowling Green Falcons vs Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns Betting Pick & Prediction 2/11/24

Betting on today’s Falcons and Ragin’ Cajuns game? Catch the action at Cajundome in Lafayette, LA, as the Ragin’ Cajuns hosts this showdown at 3:00 ET on ESPN+. The over/under for this game is set at 151 points, and Louisiana-Lafayette is favored by -7 against Bowling Green in a non-conference matchup.

BOWLING GREEN FALCONS VS LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE RAGIN’ CAJUNS BETTING PICK

The Pick: Bowling Green Falcons +7

This game will be played at Cajundome at 3:00 ET on Sunday, February 11th.

WHY BET THE BOWLING GREEN FALCONS:

• We have this one finishing with a projected score of 74-72 in favor of the Ragin’ Cajuns.
• Even though we have Louisiana-Lafayette winning straight-up, we like Bowling Green at +7.
• The over/under is currently sitting at 151 points, and we like the under with a projected 146 points.

Can The Falcons Secure a Win at Lafayette?

After winning their last game against Buffalo, the Bowling Green Falcons have a 16-7 overall record. They have won two straight games and have a 7-3 record in Mid-American Conference play. On the road this season, the Falcons have gone 4-3, and their average scoring margin is -3.4 points per game.

So far, Bowling Green has been the underdog in eight games this season, going 4-4 in those matchups. For the year, they have been the underdog in 8 of their 23 games. In their last 10 road games, the Falcons have a record of 4-6.

On the season, Bowling Green has an ATS record of 10-10, including a road ATS mark of 3-4. As the underdog, the Falcons are 4-4 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Bowling Green has gone 5-5 vs. the spread.

On the season, the over/under record for Bowling Green games is 14-6, and today’s line of 151 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (148). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the OU record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 155 points.

Bowling Green finished with 87 points in their game against Buffalo. This total surpasses their season-average of 77.2 points per game. Marcus Hill is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 21.4. Meanwhile, Rashaun Agee also brings a PPG average of 13 into the game.

On defense, Bowling Green is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 72.0 points per game. Against Buffalo in their most recent game, the Bowling Green defense gave up a total of 73 points while allowing Buffalo to hit 54% of their shots.

Can the Ragin’ Cajuns Grab a Win at Home?

At home this season, the Ragin’ Cajuns have been dominant, going 9-2, and they have been favored in 11 of their 24 games. For the season, Louisiana-Lafayette is 15-9, including a 9-4 mark in Sun Belt Conference games.

Coming off a 78-69 loss to Georgia State, the Ragin’ Cajuns will look to bounce back and improve on their 4-1 record in their last five home games. Over the last 10 games at home, Louisiana-Lafayette has gone 8-2.

When looking at Louisiana-Lafayette’s ATS record this season, they are currently 13-10. At home, their ATS mark is 6-5. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Ragin’ Cajuns are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151 is similar to the average over/under line in Louisiana-Lafayette’s games this year (149.9). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their average scoring total in their last five games is 141 points.

In their recent matchup, the Louisiana-Lafayette offense ended with 69 points against Georgia State. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 37.3% and made 8 threes. On the offensive front, the Ragin’ Cajuns have a season-long field goal percentage of 46%, ranking 120th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 87th in terms of percentage and 95th in three-pointers made.

At present, the Ragin’ Cajuns’ defense is nationally ranked 152nd, allowing 71.2 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 4.4 threes per game vs. Bowling Green. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 24.5%.