Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Betting Pick & Prediction 5/29/24

At 6:35 PM ET, the Red Sox and Orioles face off in an AL East matchup. This one is being played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, and the Orioles are favored on the money line (-187). The Red Sox have a record of 28-27, and they are starting Kutter Crawford. Baltimore will send Corbin Burnes to the mound.

The forecast for Wednesday’s game calls for clear skies and temperatures in the high 70s. MASN will be televising this one, and the over/under line is currently at 7.5 runs. Boston is +156 on the money line compared to the Orioles at -187.

BOSTON RED SOX VS BALTIMORE ORIOLES BETTING PICK

The Pick: OVER 7.5 Runs

This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards at 6:35 ET on Wednesday, May 29th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS ORIOLES:

• We have the Orioles winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Boston picked up an 8-3 road win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their three runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their only three runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Red Sox were at +148 on the money line.

Rafael Devers had a big game at the plate for Boston, going 4/5 with two RBIs. Both Rob Refsnyder and Wilyer Abreu each drove in two for the Red Sox’ offense.

Brayan Bello only went five innings for the Red Sox but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued two walks. As for the Orioles, Grayson Rodriguez struggled on the mound, giving up four runs in six innings of work.

Red Sox Records & Stats

Boston is 8.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East and are 28-27 overall. The Red Sox are 5-7 against other AL East teams this year. So far, they are 11-15 at home compared to 17-12 on the road. The Red Sox have an overall series record of 8-8-1 and have lost two straight series at home.

As the road underdog, the Red Sox are 11-11 this year, and they are 14-11 as the favorite. Boston has gone 6-4 across their last ten games, and they are currently on the road, having taken the final game of their most recent home series vs. the Marlins.

When betting the run line on the Red Sox this season, it’s been a mixed bag. They have a run line record of 25-30 overall, but they are 18-11 against the run line on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +0.5 runs per game. In their wins, they are winning by an average of 4.3 runs per game, while in their losses, they are losing by an average of 3.4 runs per game.

When the Boston Red Sox are on the road, the over has hit at a 21-30 clip this season. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their combined run average is 8.3. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 is 6-8. In their last two games, the over has hit.

Right-hander Kutter Crawford gets the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 2.89. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is 1.20. In his 11 appearances, he has turned in five quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Crawford took the loss vs. the Brewers, giving up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had gone 2-0 in his previous three outings. Opponents are batting .231 vs. Crawford this season.

So far this season, the Red Sox offense is averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game. Overall, they are hitting .244 as a team, and their team on-base percentage of .314 is also 10th in the league. One of the reasons for their strong offensive numbers is that they have the 2nd best BABIP in the league.

Rafael Devers has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as he is 2nd on the Red Sox with 10 homers and is batting .289. Ceddanne Rafaela is the team’s top home run hitter at the moment, but he is batting just .211. However, he is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone deep in three of his last six games.

Orioles Records & Stats

Baltimore is 34-19 overall and 2nd in the AL East, 1.5 games behind the Yankees for the division lead. The Orioles have gone 8-3 in divisional games this year and are 17-10 as the favorite at home. On the road, they are 16-8 this season.

So far, the Orioles and Red Sox have split the first two games of this series. Baltimore has an overall series record of 11-4-2 this year. Over their last ten games, the Orioles are 6-4 and have won four of their last five games.

The Orioles have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 29-24 overall. They are 15-14 against the run line at home, where they have an average scoring margin of 1.1 runs per game. The Orioles are 14-10 against the run line on the road, where they have a scoring margin of 1.3 runs per game.

The Orioles are playing at home against the Red Sox today, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. Baltimore’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 27-20. When the O/U line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 2-3. The over has hit in two straight games for the Orioles.

Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today and comes in with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.60. So far this year, he has made 11 starts and eight of them have been quality starts. In his last outing, Burnes finished with a no-decision, giving up three earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss, picking up the win in one of those starts. Burnes’ ERA at home is 2.04 compared to 3.70 on the road.

Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power hitters this season, as Henderson’s 17 homers are the 2nd most in the league, and Rutschman is 8th in the MLB with 10 home runs. Rutschman also comes into the game with a team-leading 37 RBIs and is batting .299 for the season. Ryan Mountcastle has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 11/26 in his last seven games.

As a team, the Orioles are 3rd in the league in runs scored and have been one of the league’s best home run-hitting teams. So far, they are averaging 5 runs per game on the road and at home. Overall, they are batting .244, which is 10th in the league.