Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves Betting Pick & Prediction 5/7/24

From Truist Park in Atlanta, we have an interleague matchup between the Red Sox and Braves. First pitch on Tuesday is set for 7:20 PM ET. Heading into the game, the Braves have the better record of 20-12, while the Red Sox are 19-16.

Reynaldo Lopez is starting for the Braves, and he is up against Kutter Crawford for the Red Sox. Atlanta is at -176 on the money line compared to the Red Sox at +146. The over/under line is at 9 runs.

ATLANTA BRAVES VS BOSTON RED SOX BETTING PICK

The Pick: Atlanta Braves Moneyline -176

This game will be played at Truist Park at 7:20 ET on Tuesday, May 7th.

HOW TO BET THE RED SOX VS BRAVES:

• We have the Braves winning by a score of 6 to 5
• However, if you’re looking for a run line pick, we like the Red Sox to cover
• As for an over/under pick, we have this game finishing with 11 runs and like the over

Red Sox Records & Stats

Rafael Devers had a big game for the Red Sox in their 9-2 win over the Twins to close out their series. He went 2/5 with a homer and two RBIs. The Red Sox really broke things open with a four-run 8th inning. Boston was the +153 underdog going into this road game.

Cooper Criswell got the start for the Red Sox, going 4 1/3 innings, and giving up just one run on five hits. He only had one strikeout in the outing and got the win.

Boston will be on the road today vs. the Braves, and they are looking to pick up their first win vs. an AL East opponent, as they are 0-3 in the division. The Red Sox are 4.5 games behind the Orioles for the AL East lead, and they are 19-16 overall this season.

The Red Sox dropped two of three games to the Twins in their most recent series. So far, they have an even series record of 6-4-1. As the road underdog, Boston is 7-7 this season, and they are 12-7 overall on the road. At home, the Red Sox are 7-9 this season.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they’ve been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 13-6. The average run differential in their games away from Fenway Park is +2.4 runs per game, and their overall run line record is 19-16. They’ve been a better run line bet as the underdog, going 14-7, compared to 5-9 as the favorite.

The Boston Red Sox have played 32 games this season, and 27 of them have had over/under lines set at less than 9 runs. The Red Sox have gone 14-18 on the over/under for the season, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, they have gone 2-1-1 on the over/under.

Through seven starts, Kutter Crawford has a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 1.56 for the Red Sox. He has made four quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t give up an earned run. In that start vs. the Guardians, he went 5 2/3 innings. Crawford’s ERA at home is 1.77, compared to 1.14 on the road. So far, he has allowed just one homer on the road. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is 1.07, and he is averaging 8.93 strikeouts per nine innings.

Heading into today’s game, the Red Sox are 7th in home runs and are 8th in team batting average. Overall, they are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. One thing to note is that they have been one of the worst teams in the league in terms of striking out so far this season. However, they have been very good at putting the ball in play, as their team BABIP of .31 is 2nd in the league.

Ceddanne Rafaela comes into the game on a five-game hitting streak and is batting .270 over his last 10 games. This season, he is hitting just .202, but he does have three homers and is the team’s current leader in RBIs. Triston Casas and Tyler O’Neill are also among the team’s leaders in homers, with six and nine, respectively.

Braves Records & Stats

The Braves will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Dodgers with a 5-1 loss. This was especially tough, as it was Max Fried’s first start since coming off the IL. He took the loss, going seven innings and giving up four earned runs on four hits. Fried also issued three walks and hit a batter.

Atlanta’s offense scored their only run in the 1st inning and then didn’t score again the rest of the game. Marcell Ozuna went 2/4 with a homer, but the Braves only had three other hits. They also wasted a big game from Ozzie Albies, who went 3/4 with a run scored.

Atlanta will host the Red Sox today with an overall record of 20-12, which has them three games behind the Phillies for the NL East lead. The Braves lost the final game of their series vs. the Cubs and have dropped the first two games of their series vs. the Dodgers. So far, they have gone 8-4 in divisional play.

At home, the Braves have been good this year, going 11-4, compared to 9-8 on the road. As the favorite, the Braves have gone 20-10, and they are 0-2 as the underdog this year. The Braves have an overall series record of 7-3-1 but have dropped two straight series.

When the Braves win, they win big, with an average run differential of +3.6 runs per game. However, they are just 15-17 against the run line this season, including a 6-9 mark at home. As the favorite, they are just 14-16 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 1-1.

So far this season, the Braves have played 12 games with an over/under line of 9 runs. In those games, the over/under record is 2-5-1. The Braves’ combined run average in those games is 9.1 runs, and the average over/under line in their games this season is 9 runs. In their last 10 games, the over/under line has been set at 9 runs in 3 games, and the over/under record in those games is 1-2. Overall, the Braves’ over/under record for the season is 12-18.

Reynaldo López has been a solid option for the Braves to start the year, as he has picked up a win in each of his first two starts. He is coming off a 5-inning outing against the Mariners in which he took the loss, but he still struck out 7 batters. He has yet to give up a home run this season.

Atlanta comes into today’s game as one of the best offensive teams in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.2 runs per contest. The Braves are also among the league leaders in team batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest.

Marcell Ozuna has been the Braves’ top run producer this season, as his 33 RBIs are the best mark in the league. He is also 2nd in the league with 10 home runs. Ozuna is hitting .306 for the season and has gone 9/35 in his last 10 games. Travis d’Arnaud is also swinging a good bat, coming into the game with a batting average of .269.