Boise State Broncos vs Nevada Wolf Pack Betting Pick & Prediction 1/12/24
Looking to win big? The Broncos and Wolf Pack face off at 10:30 ET on FS1. The Wolf Pack are hosting the game at Lawlor Events Center in Reno, NV. The over/under for this game is set at 140 points, and the Wolf Pack are the home favorites against the Broncos in a Mountain West conference matchup.
BOISE STATE BRONCOS VS NEVADA WOLF PACK BETTING PICK
The Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack -6
This game will be played at Lawlor Events Center at 10:30 ET on Friday, January 12th.
WHY BET THE NEVADA WOLF PACK:
- We have this one finishing with a projected score of 76-68 in favor of the Wolf Pack.
- Not only will Nevada pick up the win, but look for them to cover at -6.
- The over/under is currently sitting at 140 points, and we like the over with a projected 144 points.
Can Boise State Pull Off A Win at Lawlor Events Center?
Boise State heads into this game as a +6 underdog, and they have gone just 2-3 on the road this season. They are currently on a three-game win streak, and they have gone 11-4 overall.
Over their last 10 road games, the Broncos have gone just 3-7, and they are coming off of a 65-58 win over Colorado State.
Boise State has been a .500 team against the spread this season, going 7-7. On the road, the Broncos are 2-3 vs. the spread and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are just 3-7.
So far this season, the over/under record in Boise State games is 8-6. The average over/under line in their games is 138 and the average scoring total is 140.4. Today’s line of 140 is right in line with their season average. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 139.
In their most recent game, the Boise State offense put up just 65 points vs. the Colorado State Rams. Overall, they are now averaging 75.3 points per game which is 191st in the country. Offensively, the Broncos have a season long field goal percentage of 45%, which is 152nd in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 142nd in percentage and 195th in three-pointers made.
The Broncos’ defense is presently ranked 52nd nationally, allowing an average of 65.3 points per contest. So far, the Boise State defense is giving up an average of 6.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.1 times per game (478th).
Will Nevada Live Up to Expectations at Home?
With a record of 15-1, Nevada has been the class of the Mountain West so far, going 2-0 in conference play and 13-1 outside of the league. At home, the Wolf Pack have been nearly unbeatable, going 9-0 with an average scoring margin of +20.9 points per game. Over their last ten games at home, Nevada is 9-1.
Recently, Nevada has won eight games in a row, and they are 5-0 in their last five games at home. As the favorite, the Wolf Pack have gone 13-1 this season, and they are favored by six points today against Boise State. On the year, Nevada’s average scoring margin is +7.7 points per game on the road, where they are 6-1.
When looking at Nevada’s ATS record this season, they are currently 11-5. At home, their ATS record is 5-4. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wolf Pack have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.
Today’s over/under line of 140 is lower than the average over/under line in Nevada’s games this season (143.7). So far, 10 of their games have had a higher over/under line than 140. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total is 133 points.
The Nevada offense is coming off a game where they scored 67 points against Air Force. They posted a field goal percentage of 46.5% and connected on 7 threes. Kenan Blackshear led the team in scoring, putting up 22 points. Additionally, Jarod Lucas contributed 14 points for the Wolf Pack.
Coming into today’s game, the Nevada defense is giving up an average of 63.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Air Force, the Falcons finished with a field goal percentage of 46% and a total of 54 points vs. Nevada.